Worldwide routine immunisation coverage regressed during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic

Beth Evans · Thibaut Jombart

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Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy Global Maternal and Child Health COVID-19 epidemiological studies

Abstract

Abstract We modelled historical, country-specific routine immunisation trends using publicly available vaccination coverage data for diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis-containing vaccine first-dose (DTP1) and third-dose (DTP3) from 2000 to 2019. We evaluate changes in coverage in 2020 by comparing model predictions to WUENIC-reported coverage. We report a 2.9% (95% CI : [2.2%; 3.6%]) global decline in DTP3 coverage, and important increases in missed immunisations in some countries with middle-income countries, and the Americas, being most affected.

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References

2008Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R 2017Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R 2021Estimating global and regional disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: a modelling study 2009WHO and UNICEF estimates of national infant immunization coverage: methods and processes 2021Impact of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic on Routine Immunization Services: Evidence of Disruption and Recovery From 169 Countries and Territories 2020Framework for Equitable Allocation of COVID-19 Vaccine 2021Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on mobility in ten countries and associated perceived risk for all transport modes 2021International Collaboration to Ensure Equitable Access to Vaccines for COVID‐19: The ACT‐Accelerator and the COVAX Facility

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2023Analysis of global routine immunisation coverage shows disruption and stagnation during the first two-years of the COVID-19 pandemic with tentative recovery in 2022 2023Balancing Routine and Pandemic: The Synergy of India’s Universal Immunization Program and COVID-19 Vaccination Program 2023Routine child immunizations in India during the COVID-19 pandemic 2023

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