Accommodation and Prediction: The Case of the Persistent Head

Abstract

A not unpopular thesis, when it comes to the confirmation of scientific theories, is that data which were used in the construction of a theory afford poorer support for that theory than data that played no role. Some compelling thought experiments have been offered in favour of this view, not as proof but rather to add some intuitive plausibility. In this paper I consider such thought experiments and argue that they do not support the thesis; the perceived importance of prediction over accommodation, at least in these cases, is illusory. 1. Introduction 2. Background assumptions 3. Strong thesis 4. Weak thesis 5. Conclusions

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