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Structured priors in human forecasting
7 references·0 citing·36 second hopsampled
Structured priors in human forecasting (2018)Structured priors in human forecastingAdaptive Anchoring Model: How Static and Dynamic Presentations of Time Series Influence Judgments and Predictions (2017)Adaptive Anchoring Model: How…A rational model of function learning (2015)A rational model of function …Trend damping: Under-adjustment, experimental artifact, or adaptation to features of the natural environment? (2012)Trend damping: Under-adjustme…Optimal Predictions in Everyday Cognition (2006)Optimal Predictions in Everyd…Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)Judgmental forecasting: A rev…Integration of statistical methods and judgment for time series forecasting: principles from empirical research (1998)Integration of statistical me…Intuitive Time-Series Extrapolation (1982)Intuitive Time-Series Extrapo…Toward a Universal Law of Generalization for Psychological Science (1987)The adaptive nature of human categorization. (1991)Rules and exemplars in category learning. (1998)Finding structure in multi-armed bandits (2018)Structured priors in human forecasting (2018)The Effect of the Rooney Rule on Implicit Bias in the Long Term (2021)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Behavioural finance: the role of psychological factors in financial decisions (2012)The human factor in supply chain forecasting: A systematic review (2018)Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects (2018)Statistical principles in experimental design. (1962)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Factors affecting judgmental forecasts and confidence intervals (1989)Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research (1993)Integrating management judgment and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts (2002)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)The effects of feedback interventions on performance: A historical review, a meta-analysis, and a preliminary feedback intervention theory. (1996)Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning (2009)Evaluating early warning indicators of banking crises: Satisfying policy requirements (2014)Retail forecasting: Research and practice (2019)Linear models in decision making. (1974)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Extrapolation for Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Data (2001)Judgmental Adjustment of Statistical Forecasts (2001)Integrating judgmental and quantitative forecasts: methodologies for pooling marketing and operations information (2004)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)The Econometrics of DSGE Models (2009)One and Done? Optimal Decisions From Very Few Samples (2014)The life course cube: A tool for studying lives (2018)Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Are Impulsive Decisions Always Irrational? An Experimental Investigation of Impulsive Decisions in the Domains of Gains and Losses (2021)How do people predict a random walk? Lessons for models of human cognition. (2024)Judgment in the presence of multiple conflicting anchors (2024)
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References

  • 2006Optimal Predictions in Everyday Cognition645 cited
  • 2006Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years535 cited
  • 1982Intuitive Time-Series Extrapolation139 cited
  • 2015A rational model of function learning99 cited
  • 1998Integration of statistical methods and judgment for time series forecasting: principles from empirical research97 cited
  • 2012Trend damping: Under-adjustment, experimental artifact, or adaptation to features of the natural environment?41 cited
  • 2017Adaptive Anchoring Model: How Static and Dynamic Presentations of Time Series Influence Judgments and Predictions17 cited

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