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Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output
16 references·3 citing·45 second hop
Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output (2003)Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Fut…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (2019)The Pricing of Options and Co…Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models (2001)Tests of equal forecast accur…Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk (2000)Have Individual Stocks Become…Drift Independent Volatility Estimation Based on High, Low, Open, and Close Prices (2000)Drift Independent Volatility …Resolving the Puzzling Intertemporal Relation between the Market Risk Premium and Conditional Market Variance: A Two‐Factor Approach (1998)Resolving the Puzzling Intert…The Econometrics of Financial Markets (1997)The Econometrics of Financial…Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation (1995)Automatic Lag Selection in Co…Indexes of U.S. Stock Prices from 1802 to 1987 (1990)Indexes of U.S. Stock Prices …The Stock Market and Investment (1989)The Stock Market and Investme…A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market (1989)A Markov Model of Heteroskeda…The American Business Cycle (1986)The American Business CycleStock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Stock Returns and the Term St…Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical Unemployment (1982)Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical …On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation (1980)On Estimating the Expected Re…Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much…An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)An Intertemporal Capital Asse…Factors Affecting Share Price of Nepalese Non-Life Insurance Companies (2019)Factors Affecting Share Price…Sentiment and stock market volatility revisited: A time–frequency domain approach (2017)Sentiment and stock market vo…The changing macroeconomic response to stock market volatility shocks (2012)The changing macroeconomic re…Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control (1995)Micro-Economic Foundations of Employment and Inflation Theory. (1972)Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment (1973)Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States (1976)Noise (1986)Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk (2001)The cyclical behavior of equilibrium unemployment and vacancies revisited (2008)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2001)Does the stock market value bank diversification? (2007)Investor sentiment and the mean–variance relation☆ (2010)The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices (1963)A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances (1988)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)A Markov Model of Switching-Regime ARCH (1994)Estimating the Intertemporal Risk–Return Tradeoff Using the Implied Cost of Capital (2008)Stock Returns and Volatility: Pricing the Short‐Run and Long‐Run Components of Market Risk (2008)Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability (1996)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Improving GARCH volatility forecasts with regime-switching GARCH (2002)Prewhitening Bias in HAC Estimation* (2005)Oil price elasticities and oil price fluctuations (2018)The Behavior of U. S. Public Debt and Deficits (1998)Cyclical Dynamics in Idiosyncratic Labor Market Risk (2004)Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks (2022)Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity (2008)
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References

  • 1973An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model6,557 cited
  • 1997The Econometrics of Financial Markets5,007 cited
  • 1980Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?4,020 cited
  • 1985Stock Returns and the Term Structure2,260 cited
  • 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
  • 1982Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical Unemployment1,135 cited
  • 1980On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation755 cited
  • 1989A Markov Model of Heteroskedasticity, Risk, and Learning in the Stock Market647 cited
  • 1995Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation481 cited
  • 1986The American Business Cycle469 cited
  • 2019The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities461 cited
  • 2000Drift Independent Volatility Estimation Based on High, Low, Open, and Close Prices450 cited
  • 1998Resolving the Puzzling Intertemporal Relation between the Market Risk Premium and Conditional Market Variance: A Two‐Factor Approach427 cited
  • 1990Indexes of U.S. Stock Prices from 1802 to 1987356 cited
  • 2000Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk

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153 cited
  • 1989The Stock Market and Investment110 cited
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    • 2012The changing macroeconomic response to stock market volatility shocks59 cited
    • 2017Sentiment and stock market volatility revisited: A time–frequency domain approach19 cited
    • 2019Factors Affecting Share Price of Nepalese Non-Life Insurance Companies15 cited