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Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time Economic Activity: A Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach
16 references·1 citing·43 second hop
Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time Economic Activity: A Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach (2012)Credit Spreads as Predictors of Real-Time…Intermediary Asset Pricing (2013)Intermediary Asset PricingCredit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations (2012)Credit Spreads and Business C…Robust Inference With Multiway Clustering (2011)Robust Inference With Multiwa…Financial Intermediation and Credit Policy in Business Cycle Analysis (2010)Financial Intermediation and …A model of unconventional monetary policy (2010)A model of unconventional mon…Forecasting Default with the Merton Distance to Default Model (2008)Forecasting Default with the …The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present (2007)The U.S. Treasury yield curve…Corporate Bond Market Transaction Costs and Transparency (2007)Corporate Bond Market Transac…Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach (2004)Determinants of Long-Term Gro…Chapter 21 The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework (1999)Chapter 21 The financial acce…Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators (1998)Predicting U.S. Recessions: F…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Comparing Predictive AccuracyThe Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity (1991)The Term Structure as a Predi…Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money (1981)Stock Returns, Real Activity,…ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE D…The Combination of Forecasts (1969)The Combination of ForecastsEquity Yields (2011)Equity YieldsMONEY, INCOME, AND CAUSALITY (1972)Economic Forces and the Stock Market (1986)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism (1970)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)House Prices, Borrowing Constraints, and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle (2005)Capital regulation, risk-taking and monetary policy: A missing link in the transmission mechanism? (2011)On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates (1974)Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model (2001)The Economics of Structured Finance (2009)Predictably Unequal? The Effects of Machine Learning on Credit Markets (2021)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous (1976)The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes (1976)An equilibrium characterization of the term structure (1977)The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework (1998)Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy (2005)Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach (2007)A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector (2014)Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (2001)Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Errors (2008)Estimating Standard Errors in Finance Panel Data Sets: Comparing Approaches (2008)Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century (2012)Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment (2015)Credit Cycles (1997)The Employment Effects of Credit Market Disruptions: Firm-level Evidence from the 2008–9 Financial Crisis * (2013)Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness between renewable energy stocks and crude oil prices (2018)U.S. Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle (2020)Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries (1989)Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries (1991)Why do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker than Others? (1999)Does financial liberalization spur growth? (2005)Do better schools lead to more growth? Cognitive skills, economic outcomes, and causation (2012)How economic growth, renewable electricity and natural resources contribute to CO2 emissions? (2017)Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model (2003)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions (2017)
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References

  • 1974ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES*10,779 cited
  • 1995Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,214 cited
  • 1999Chapter 21 The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework3,549 cited
  • 2011Robust Inference With Multiway Clustering3,199 cited
  • 1969The Combination of Forecasts3,194 cited
  • 1981Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money2,632 cited
  • 2010A model of unconventional monetary policy2,439 cited
  • 2008Forecasting Default with the Merton Distance to Default Model2,220 cited
  • 2012Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations2,209 cited
  • 2004Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach2,112 cited
  • 2010Financial Intermediation and Credit Policy in Business Cycle Analysis1,986 cited
  • 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
  • 2013Intermediary Asset Pricing1,401 cited
  • 2007The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present1,337 cited
  • 1998Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators1,180 cited
  • 2007

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Corporate Bond Market Transaction Costs and Transparency
966 cited

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  • 2011Equity Yields21 cited