Geopolitical Risk and the LNG-LPG Trade

Nektarios A. Michail · Konstantinos D. Melas

55 citations0/0 files storedPeace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy

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Market Dynamics and Volatility Maritime Ports and Logistics Global Energy Security and Policy

Abstract

Abstract We explore the relationship between Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) and Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG) carrier freight rates and global geopolitical risk, while also controlling for the macro environment. Our results show that a shock in geopolitical risk significantly increases the cost of the spot charter rates for both LNG and LPG carriers, with the impact reaching around 25% for the former and 18% for the latter. Our results bear significant implications for both the companies and the countries involved in the liquefied gas trade, with its importance growing as the use of this energy source is likely to continue substituting other fossil fuels in the future.

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