A Study of the Relationship between Lithuanian International Migration Flows and Transport Sector Performance Indicators

Galina Ševčenko · Kristina Čižiūnienė

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transportation and logistics systems Transportation Planning and Optimization Urban Transport and Accessibility

Abstract

Migration, emigration and immigration are processes directly related to transport and have a significant impact on the performance of this field. On the other hand, extensive movement of people inevitably relates to issues of sustainability, their assurance, etc. Migrants settle in large cities where public transport is well developed. Migrants usually commute by means other than driving their own cars (choosing public transport, walking, cycling or car sharing). Many researchers in the USA (United States of America) have linked this to migrants’ choice of a place of residence, which are well served by public transport, as they mainly travel for work. However, with passing time and improving living standards, the need for immigrants to not only use public transport, but to also own their own, becomes similar to that of the locals. This also increases the need for the analysis of sustainable transport issues. The correlation and regression analyses used in the article and the application of the ALM (automatic linear modelling) modelling led to the following results: a significant positive correlation was found between emigration and passenger carriage by all modes of transport|Maritime transport, and a significant negative correlation was found between emigration and passenger carriage by all modes of transport|Rail transport, suggesting that these indicators have a mutually significant relationship with one another. The conducted regression analysis and applied modelling showed that the regression model was insignificant and therefore cannot be used. However, the results suggest that the relationship between immigration and transport indicators can be used as a direction for further research.

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References

2001Business and Social Networks in International Trade 2007South-South Migration and Remittances 2004Cheap Calls: The Social Glue of Migrant Transnationalism 2019International Migration: Trends, Determinants, and Policy Effects 2015A Practitioners’ Guide to Gravity Models of International Migration 2003Rethinking the Brain Drain 2020A geographically weighted regression model augmented by Geodetector analysis and principal component analysis for the spatial distribution of PM2.5 2005Relaxing the Restrictions on the Temporary Movement of Natural Persons: A Simulation Analysis

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