North American Transportation During COVID-19: What Really Changed?

Matthew J. Palm

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Transportation Planning and Optimization Urban Transport and Accessibility Transportation and Mobility Innovations

Abstract

COVID-19 arrived in the United States and Canada at a time when the future of sustainable urban travel across the continent looked uncertain. A decade-long trend in transit ridership growth appeared to have stalled in many cities (Boisjoly et al., 2018), while automobile ownership grew. This chapter synthesizes unfolding evidence on how COVID-19 disrupted some of these existing trends in North American urban transportation while accelerating others. This synthesis is organized around three themes emerging from COVID-19 in the region: declining transit ridership, increased auto ownership or auto purchase plans, and a possible ‘new normal’ of increased telecommuting. I evaluate each theme in the context of prior trends and public policy choices feeding those trends. Untangling hype from data, the chapter concludes with recommendations on how to support travelers in the region while calling for clearer thinking from urban thought leaders and researchers on the likely long-term impact of the crisis.

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References

2007The good, the bad, and the unknown about telecommuting: Meta-analysis of psychological mediators and individual consequences.2020The impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on public transit demand in the United States 2005Does telecommuting reduce vehicle-miles traveled? An aggregate time series analysis for the U.S.2016Millennials and car ownership: Less money, fewer cars 2021Public transit use in the United States in the era of COVID-19: Transit riders’ travel behavior in the COVID-19 impact and recovery period 1998The impact of gender, occupation, and presence of children on telecommuting motivations and constraints 2021Bikeshare and subway ridership changes during the COVID-19 pandemic in New York City 2014Public transportation objectives and rider demographics: are transit’s priorities poor public policy?

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2025Public transit in transition: The “new normal” or a return to normal?

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