Reportgreen2012

The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment

100 citations0/0 files storedNational Bureau of Economic Research

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Global trade and economics Global Trade and Competitiveness COVID-19, Geopolitics, Technology, Migration

Abstract

This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports.Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment losses along with larger increases in the value of imports from China and the number of firms engaged in China-U.S. trade.These results are robust to other potential explanations of the employment loss, and we show that the U.S. employment trends differ from those in the EU, where there was no change in policy.

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References

1994Investment under Uncertainty 1997Job Creation and Destruction 2017WTO Accession and Performance of Chinese Manufacturing Firms 2007The relative sophistication of Chinese exports 2005Survival of the best fit: Exposure to low-wage countries and the (uneven) growth of U.S. manufacturing plants 1992Exporting Jobs?: The Impact of Import Competition on Employment and Wages in U. S. Manufacturing 1994Trade and Jobs in U.S. Manufacturing 2012The Longitudinal Business Database

Cited by

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