Article1983

QUICK-RESPONSE PROCEDURES TO FORECAST RURAL TRAFFIC

22 citations0/0 files storedTransportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board

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Transportation Planning and Optimization Transportation Systems and Logistics Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques

Abstract

The development of a quick-response method to forecast traffic volumes at project sites located on the rural highway network is discussed. By using travel data from New York State's continuous count stations in rural locations and various state-, county-, and town-level demographic data, a set of elasticity-based models is derived. These models can forecast future year annual average daily traffic (AADT) as a function of base year AADT modified by various demographic factors. These models are estimated based on the type of service the roadway carries: interurban, urban to rural, and rural to rural. Nomographs and a user's manual that describes a simple seven-step process to use the model were developed and distributed to regional offices throughout New York State. (Author)

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2021Comparative Assessment of Geospatial and Statistical Methods to Estimate Local Road Annual Average Daily Traffic 2015Spatial Proximity and Dependency to Model Urban Travel Demand 2006Growth Forecasting of Vehicle Miles of Travel at County and Statewide Levels

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