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This paper analyses the potential impacts of motorcycle travel demand management strategies for Ho Chi Minh city, a motorcycle dominant city of Vietnam. Four scenarios on managing the use of motorcycle are analyzed using an activity-based travel demand model called FEATHERS-HCMC. The model is adapted from the FEATHERS model developed for Flanders, Belgium and based on the household travel survey in Ho Chi Minh City. The modeling framework of FEATHERS-HCMC is a combination of the heuristic rules and the econometric models. The simulation results suggest that a strong enforcement on motorcycle use would significantly reduce motorcycle trips and induce the rearrangement of location and time-of-day for daily activities. These results provide empirical evidence that shows several advantages of using activity-based travel demand models comparing to the current four-step models. FEATHERS-HCMC is a promising tool to support decision-making process for assessing sustainable transportation policies, not only for HCMC but for other regions with similar characteristics.
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