Short-Term Labor Supply Response to the Expanded Child Tax Credit

Brandon Enriquez · Damon Jones · Ernie Tedeschi

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Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics Labor market dynamics and wage inequality Work-Family Balance Challenges

Abstract

We estimate the extensive and intensive margin labor supply response to the monthly Child Tax Credit disbursed in 2021 as a part of the American Rescue Plan Act. Using Current Population Survey microdata, we compare labor supply outcomes among households who qualify for varying relative increases in household income as a result of their income level and household size. We do not find strong evidence of a change in labor supply for families receiving the credit. The results are robust to alternative labor supply models, where households respond mainly to cash on hand or changes in the annual budget set.

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2002Optimal Income Transfer Programs: Intensive versus Extensive Labor Supply Responses 2010Is the EITC as Good as an NIT? Conditional Cash Transfers and Tax Incidence 2022Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Employment Outcomes: Evidence from Real-World Data from April to December 2021 2022The Effects of Income on the Economic Wellbeing of Families with Low Incomes: Evidence from the 2021 Expanded Child Tax Credit 2021The Anti-Poverty, Targeting, and Labor Supply Effects of Replacing a Child Tax Credit with a Child Allowance 2022Estimating the Net Fiscal Cost of a Child Tax Credit Expansion 2024How Would a Permanent 2021 Child Tax Credit Expansion Affect Poverty and Employment?2020Who Benefits From the Child Tax Credit?

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2024The expanded Child Tax Credit and economic wellbeing of low-income families

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