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Measuring probabilistic coherence to identify superior forecasters
16 references·0 citing·39 second hop
Measuring probabilistic coherence to identify superior forecasters (2024)Measuring probabilistic coherence to iden…Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences (2009)Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased …Structural Equation Modelling: Guidelines for Determining Model Fit (2008)Structural Equation Modelling…Confirmatory factor analysis for applied research (2007)Confirmatory factor analysis …Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making (2005)Cognitive Reflection and Deci…Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics (2003)Maps of Bounded Rationality: …The Big Five Trait taxonomy: History, measurement, and theoretical perspectives. (1999)The Big Five Trait taxonomy: …Individual differences in need for cognitive closure. (1994)Individual differences in nee…Reason-based choice (1993)Reason-based choiceStatus quo bias in decision making (1988)Status quo bias in decision m…The Efficient Assessment of Need for Cognition (1984)The Efficient Assessment of N…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under UncertaintyThe Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Framing of Decisions and …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. (1971)Reversals of preference betwe…Comparative fit indexes in structural models. (1990)Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling (1998)Cutoff criteria for fit indexes in covariance structure analysis: Conventional criteria versus new alternatives (1999)Job crafting and its relationships with person–job fit and meaningfulness: A three-wave study (2015)The Social Media Disorder Scale (2016)CB-SEM vs PLS-SEM methods for research in social sciences and technology forecasting (2021)An alternative "description of personality": The Big-Five factor structure. (1990)THE BIG FIVE PERSONALITY DIMENSIONS AND JOB PERFORMANCE: A META‐ANALYSIS (1991)An Introduction to the Five‐Factor Model and Its Applications (1992)Handbook of Positive Psychology (2001)A very brief measure of the Big-Five personality domains (2003)Individual differences in two emotion regulation processes: Implications for affect, relationships, and well-being. (2003)The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model (1991)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)A BEHAVIORAL MODEL OF RATIONAL CHOICE (1955)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Neuroeconomics: How Neuroscience Can Inform Economics (2005)Naturalistic Decision Making (2008)The Polarizing Impact of Science Literacy and Numeracy on Perceived Climate Change Risks (2012)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)The trouble with overconfidence. (2008)Conditions for intuitive expertise: A failure to disagree. (2009)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)Sample Size Requirements for Structural Equation Models (2013)Best Practices for Developing and Validating Scales for Health, Social, and Behavioral Research: A Primer (2018)Assessing measurement model quality in PLS-SEM using confirmatory composite analysis (2019)Perception of Risk (1987)Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems (1995)Framing Processes and Social Movements: An Overview and Assessment (2000)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1981The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice17,834 cited
  • 2007Confirmatory factor analysis for applied research15,614 cited
  • 2008Structural Equation Modelling: Guidelines for Determining Model Fit8,744 cited
  • 1982Judgment under Uncertainty8,238 cited
  • 1999The Big Five Trait taxonomy: History, measurement, and theoretical perspectives.7,993 cited
  • 1988Status quo bias in decision making5,912 cited
  • 2003Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics5,374 cited
  • 2005Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making5,253 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1984The Efficient Assessment of Need for Cognition2,911 cited
  • 1994Individual differences in need for cognitive closure.2,469 cited
  • 2009Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences1,799 cited
  • 1971Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions.1,571 cited

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1993
Reason-based choice
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