Experimental Data on Pragmatic, Constructive and Reconstructive Memory Influences on the Hindsight Bias

Karolin Salmen · Florian K. G. Ermark

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Memory Processes and Influences Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

Abstract

After knowing how events turned out, we are quick to say ‘we knew it all along.’ Decades of research on hindsight bias have shown that outcome information biases what we later present as our original judgments. This experiment combined established between- and within-participant designs in a longitudinal study.

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