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Do claims about certainty make estimates less certain?
16 references·1 citing·47 second hop
Do claims about certainty make estimates less certain? (2024)Do claims about certainty make estimates …Truth-Default Theory (TDT) (2014)Truth-Default Theory (TDT)Epistemic Vigilance (2010)Epistemic VigilanceConstrual-level theory of psychological distance. (2010)Construal-level theory of psy…The Effect of Construal Level on Subjective Probability Estimates (2008)The Effect of Construal Level…Construal Levels and Psychological Distance: Effects on Representation, Prediction, Evaluation, and Behavior (2007)Construal Levels and Psycholo…Information leakage from logically equivalent frames (2005)Information leakage from logi…Distinction Bias: Misprediction and Mischoice Due to Joint Evaluation. (2004)Distinction Bias: Mispredicti…What a speaker’s choice of frame reveals: Reference points, frame selection, and framing effects (2003)What a speaker’s choice of fr…Less is better: when low-value options are valued more highly than high-value options (1998)Less is better: when low-valu…Reasons for Framing Effects (1993)Reasons for Framing EffectsHow mental systems believe. (1991)How mental systems believe.Propensities and counterfactuals: The loser that almost won. (1990)Propensities and counterfactu…A Natural history of negation (1990)A Natural history of negationVariants of uncertainty (1982)Variants of uncertaintyThe Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Framing of Decisions and …THE PROPENSITY INTERPRETATION OF PROBABILITY (1959)THE PROPENSITY INTERPRETATION…The Psychology of Ignorance (2026)The Psychology of IgnoranceUniversals in the Content and Structure of Values: Theoretical Advances and Empirical Tests in 20 Countries (1992)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)Temporal construal. (2003)Interpersonal similarity as a social distance dimension: Implications for perception of others’ actions (2008)Personal experience and the ‘psychological distance’ of climate change: An integrative review (2015)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Relevance: Communication and Cognition (1986)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)The role of social cognition in decision making (2008)Rationality for mortals: how people cope with uncertainty (2009)On the Supposed Evidence for Libertarian Paternalism (2015)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)A variance explanation paradox: When a little is a lot. (1985)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making (2004)Politeness : Some Universals in Language Usage (1987)Choice overload: A conceptual review and meta‐analysis (2014)The behavioralist as tax collector: Using natural field experiments to enhance tax compliance (2017)Risk perceptions of COVID-19 around the world (2020)The Principles of Psychology (1891)Implicit social cognition: Attitudes, self-esteem, and stereotypes. (1995)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Metaphors We Live By (2003)Social Influence: Compliance and Conformity (2004)Nonverbal Leakage and Clues to Deception † (1969)Studies in the Way of Words (1989)Accuracy of Deception Judgments (2006)Information Manipulation Theory 2 (2014)Lying takes time: A meta-analysis on reaction time measures of deception. (2017)Credibility Perceptions and Detection Accuracy of Fake News Headlines on Social Media: Effects of Truth-Bias and Endorsement Cues (2020)An Essay concerning Human Understanding (1690)Speech Acts (1969)Knowledge in a Social World (1999)Natural pedagogy as evolutionary adaptation (2011)Credibility and trust of information in online environments: The use of cognitive heuristics (2013)The cultural evolution of prosocial religions (2014)Perception of Risk (1987)Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems (1995)Framing Processes and Social Movements: An Overview and Assessment (2000)Reflective and Impulsive Determinants of Social Behavior (2004)Fragments and ellipsis (2005)Information structure in discourse: Towards an integrated formal theory of pragmatics (2012)Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated? (1981)What Conditional Probability Could Not Be (2003)A review of the effects of uncertainty in public science communication (2020)
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References

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  • 2026The Psychology of Ignorance1 cited