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Out of sight but still in mind: Developing an expectation for surprises by formalizing unknowledge in a contemporary risk‐assessment framework
16 references·2 citing·35 second hop
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References

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  • 2008Managing the unexpected: resilient performance in an age of uncertainty1,968 cited
  • 2015Risk assessment and risk management: Review of recent advances on their foundation1,710 cited
  • 2008Risk Governance: Coping with Uncertainty in a Complex World1,325 cited
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  • 2008The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable238 cited
  • 2020Systemic Risks from Different Perspectives221 cited
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  • 2007Diagnosing Unforeseeable Uncertainty in a New Venture*

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208 cited

Cited by

  • 2025Adapting Scenario Planning to Create an Expectation for Surprises: Going Beyond Probability and Plausibility in Risk Assessment5 cited
  • 2026Knightian Forecasting: Mathematical Models of Ambiguity and the Limits of Probabilistic Prediction0 cited