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The importance of forecast uncertainty in understanding the Bullwhip effect
16 references·0 citing·38 second hop
The importance of forecast uncertainty in understanding the Bullwhip effect (2025)The importance of forecast uncertainty in…The Big Data Newsvendor: Practical Insights from Machine Learning (2018)The Big Data Newsvendor: Prac…Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R (2017)Automatic time series forecas…Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Making and Evaluating Point F…Time series analysis forecasting and control (2009)Time series analysis forecast…Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing (2008)Forecasting with Exponential …Exponential smoothing: The state of the art—Part II (2006)Exponential smoothing: The st…Behavioral Causes of the Bullwhip Effect and the Observed Value of Inventory Information (2006)Behavioral Causes of the Bull…The effect of vendor managed inventory (VMI) dynamics on the Bullwhip Effect in supply chains (2003)The effect of vendor managed …Measuring and avoiding the bullwhip effect: A control theoretic approach (2003)Measuring and avoiding the bu…The Effect of Collaborative Forecasting on Supply Chain Performance (2001)The Effect of Collaborative F…Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information (2000)Quantifying the Bullwhip Effe…A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process (1999)A Single-Item Inventory Model…The Bullwhip Effect In Supply Chains 1 (1997)The Bullwhip Effect In Supply…Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect (1997)Information Distortion in a S…Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment (1989)Modeling Managerial Behavior:…Econometric Evaluation of Linear Macro-Economic Models (1986)Econometric Evaluation of Lin…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The theory and practice of econometrics (1986)RATIONAL CHOICE AND THE FRAMING OF DECISIONS (1988)Formal aspects of model validity and validation in system dynamics (1996)The Mutual Knowledge Problem and Its Consequences for Dispersed Collaboration (2001)System Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World (2002)Inventory management and production planning and scheduling (1999)Designing and managing the supply chain : concepts, strategies, and case studies (2000)Application of machine learning techniques for supply chain demand forecasting (2007)Literature review on disruption recovery in the supply chain (2017)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Coherent Measures of Risk (1999)A better measure of relative prediction accuracy for model selection and model estimation (2014)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (1960)The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages (2004)A hybrid method of exponential smoothing and recurrent neural networks for time series forecasting (2019)Artificial intelligence applications in supply chain management (2021)Production and inventory management (1983)Supply chain coordination: Perspectives, empirical studies and research directions (2008)A Contingent Resource‐Based Perspective of Supply Chain Resilience and Robustness (2014)The predictive power of online chatter (2005)Quantile regression for dynamic panel data with fixed effects (2011)Tourism demand forecasting: A deep learning approach (2019)Arcs of integration: an international study of supply chain strategies (2001)DEFINING SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT (2001)Perspectives in supply chain risk management (2006)The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain (2000)Building the Resilient Supply Chain (2004)Forecasting and operational research: a review (2008)Forecasting with temporal hierarchies (2017)Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Survey (2022)The tourism forecasting competition (2010)The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods (2019)M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions (2022)
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References

  • 1997Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect4,718 cited
  • 2009Time series analysis forecasting and control2,585 cited
  • 1989Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment2,504 cited
  • 1997The Bullwhip Effect In Supply Chains 12,102 cited
  • 2000Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information1,805 cited
  • 2011Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts1,159 cited
  • 2008Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing1,040 cited
  • 2017Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R978 cited
  • 2006Exponential smoothing: The state of the art—Part II953 cited
  • 2003Measuring and avoiding the bullwhip effect: A control theoretic approach685 cited
  • 1986Econometric Evaluation of Linear Macro-Economic Models601 cited
  • 2006Behavioral Causes of the Bullwhip Effect and the Observed Value of Inventory Information567 cited
  • 2003The effect of vendor managed inventory (VMI) dynamics on the Bullwhip Effect in supply chains539 cited
  • 2001The Effect of Collaborative Forecasting on Supply Chain Performance536 cited
  • 2018The Big Data Newsvendor: Practical Insights from Machine Learning

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510 cited
  • 1999A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process453 cited
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