Chapter2013

The use of statistical heuristics in everyday reasoning

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Categorization, perception, and language Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

Abstract

It can be argued that inductive reasoning is our most important and ubiquitous problem-solving activity. Concept formation, generalization from instances, and prediction are all examples of inductive reasoning, that is, of passing from particular propositions to more general ones or of passing from particular propositions to other particular propositions via more general ones.

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1977The Differential Impact of Abstract vs. Concrete Information on Decisions1

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1988Human Error in Aviation Operations 2011Knowing Where They Stand: The Role of Inferred Distributions of Others in Misestimates of Relative Standing 1992Updating mental models in predictive reasoning 1987The judgment of covariation between binary variables: Some conditions that influence the process 2012O papel do reconhecimento do acaso no raciocínio indutivo

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