The Luck of the Draw: The Role of Lotteries in Decision Making

Abstract

PART I: THE LOGIC OF RANDOM SELECTION 1. Why Lotteries? 1. THE SCHOOL BOARD TOSSES A COIN 2. LOTTERIES, LOTTERIES EVERYWHERE 3. ABSURD YET OBVIOUS 4. THE STORY SO FAR 5. THE ARGUMENT TO COME 2. What Do Lotteries Do? 1. WHAT IS A LOTTERY? 2. FUNDAMENTAL FEATURES OF DECISION-MAKING 3. DECISION-MAKING BY LOTTERY 4. THE LOTTERY PRINCIPLE 5. INDETERMINACY WITHOUT LOTTERIES 6. LOTTERIES AND DIVINATION PART II: LOTTERIES AND JUSTICE 3. Allocative Justice 1. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LOTTERIES AND JUSTICE 2. THE JUST LOTTERY RULE 3. CONSENT, OPPORTUNITIES, EXPECTATIONS 4. Impartiality 1. WHAT DOES ALLOCATIVE JUSTICE REQUIRE? 2. ALLOCATIVE JUSTICE AND OUTCOMES 3. ALLOCATIVE JUSTICE AND ACTIONS 4. IMPARTIALITY AND INDETERMINACY 5. THE RIGHT AND THE GOOD 5. The Implications of Impartiality 1. THE NATURE OF THE IMPARTIALITY PRINCIPLE 2. THEORIES OF JUSTICE 3. ALTERNATIVES TO RANDOM SELECTION PART III: LOTTERIES BEYOND JUSTICE 6. The Idea of Sortition 1. SORTITION IN PRACTICE 2. SORTITION AND JUSTICE 3. INCENTIVE ALIGNMENT 4. DESCRIPTIVE REPRESENTATION 5. RANDOM SELECTION IN OTHER 7. Conclusion BIBLIOGRAPHY

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