An Empirical Study on Inflation and Economic Growth in Bangladesh

Shoaib Ahmed

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic Theory and Policy Unemployment and Economic Growth

Abstract

In this study, the relationship between the inflation and the economic growth in Bangladesh has been examined in the framework of data covering 1988:2008 periods. The existence of the long term relationship between these two variables has been examined using Bound Test developed by Pesaran et al. (2001), and the existence of a cointegration relationship between the two series has been detected following the test result. Whereas no statistically significant long term relationship has been found with the formed ARDL models, a negative and statistically significant short term relationship has been found. The Causality relationship between the two series has been examined in the framework of the causality test developed by Toda Yamamoto (1995) but no Causality relationship has been found from economic growth to inflation, a Causality relationship has been found from inflation to economic growth.

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References

1987Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing 1969Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods 2001Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships 1988Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression 1988Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors 1981Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root 1990MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION — WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY 1995Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes

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