Unreal Estimates of the Real Rate of Interest

William W. Brown · Gary J. Santoni

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Economic theories and models

Abstract

In the nearly five decades since the publication of Irving Fisher’s The Theory of Interest, economists have engaged in numerous attempts to measure the ex-ante real rate of interest. The effort devoted to obtaining these estimates reflects the fact that the ex-ante real interest rate conveys information about some fundamental economic relationships.

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2021Short- Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation 1969Interest Rates and Price Level Changes, 1952-69 1975Capital asset prices versus time series models as predictors of inflation

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1982Interest Rate Policies in West Africa (Politiques de taux d'interet dans les pays de l'Afrique de l'Ouest) (Las politicas de tipos de interes en los paises de Africa occidental)

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