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Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis
16 references·16 citing·30 second hopsampled
Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis (2003)Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New M…Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions (2001)Sources of Power: How People …Adaptive enterprise creating and leading sense-and-respond organizations (2000)Adaptive enterprise creating …Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)Simple Heuristics That Make U…Mastering the dynamics of innovation (1995)Mastering the dynamics of inn…The Adaptive Decision Maker (1994)The Adaptive Decision MakerRational choice in an uncertain world (1988)Rational choice in an uncerta…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…The simulation heuristic (1982)The simulation heuristicDecisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs. (1977)Decisions with Multiple Objec…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)The Structure of Scientific R…CONJECTURES AND REFUTATIONS (1963)CONJECTURES AND REFUTATIONSRisk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Sava…The Logic of Scientific Discovery. (1959)The Logic of Scientific Disco…The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses (1890)The Method of Multiple Workin…The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support (2020)The Future of Sensitivity Ana…Robust Decision Making (RDM) (2019)Robust Decision Making (RDM)A Practical Guide for Policy Analysis: The Eightfold Path to More Effective Problem Solving (2019)A Practical Guide for Policy …Country-level social cost of carbon (2018)Country-level social cost of …The Exploratory Modeling Workbench: An open source toolkit for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and (multi-objective) robust decision making (2017)The Exploratory Modeling Work…Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow (2016)Sensitivity analysis of envir…Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision Making and Info‐Gap Methods (2012)Robust Climate Policies Under…Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty (2012)Exploratory Modeling and Anal…Tourism travel under climate change mitigation constraints (2009)Tourism travel under climate …Thinking inside the box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery (2009)Thinking inside the box: A pa…Managing the Risk of Uncertain Threshold Responses: Comparison of Robust, Optimum, and Precautionary Approaches (2007)Managing the Risk of Uncertai…From comparative risk assessment to multi-criteria decision analysis and adaptive management: Recent developments and applications (2006)From comparative risk assessm…A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios (2006)A General, Analytic Method fo…RISK, SECURITY, AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT (2005)RISK, SECURITY, AND DISASTER …How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool? (2004)How to improve scenario analy…Characterizing Climate-Change Uncertainties for Decision-Makers. An Editorial Essay (2004)Characterizing Climate-Change…Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)Human Problem Solving (1972)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2002)Measurement Instruments for the Anthropomorphism, Animacy, Likeability, Perceived Intelligence, and Perceived Safety of Robots (2008)Heuristic Decision Making (2010)Falsification and the Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes (1970)Falsification and the Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes (1976)Developing a framework for responsible innovation (2013)Marketing in Hypermedia Computer-Mediated Environments: Conceptual Foundations (1996)Determinants of Perceived Ease of Use: Integrating Control, Intrinsic Motivation, and Emotion into the Technology Acceptance Model (2000)Construal-level theory of psychological distance. (2010)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Complex acts of knowing: paradox and descriptive self‐awareness (2002)Naturalistic Decision Making (2008)Critical realism in case study research (2009)The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal's Problem. (1973)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)The Social Construction of Reality: A Treatise in the Sociology of Knowledge. (1967)Competing paradigms in qualitative research. (1994)Sample Size in Qualitative Interview Studies (2015)Citizen Participation in Decision Making: Is It Worth the Effort? (2004)Extended VIKOR method in comparison with outranking methods (2006)Multi-criteria decision analysis in environmental sciences: Ten years of applications and trends (2011)Grounded theory research: Procedures, canons, and evaluative criteria (1990)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Seeking Qualitative Rigor in Inductive Research (2012)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1963The Structure of Scientific Revolutions35,276 cited
  • 1961Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms7,892 cited
  • 1959The Logic of Scientific Discovery.7,499 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1999Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart3,562 cited
  • 1994The Adaptive Decision Maker3,310 cited
  • 1963CONJECTURES AND REFUTATIONS2,853 cited
  • 1977Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs.2,305 cited
  • 2001Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions2,155 cited
  • 1969Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.1,928 cited
  • 1982The simulation heuristic1,586 cited
  • 1988Rational choice in an uncertain world1,292 cited
  • 1995Mastering the dynamics of innovation1,274 cited
  • 1973Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases757 cited
  • 1890The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses504 cited
  • 2000Adaptive enterprise creating and leading sense-and-respond organizations438 cited

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Cited by

  • 2016Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow1,722 cited
  • 2019A Practical Guide for Policy Analysis: The Eightfold Path to More Effective Problem Solving907 cited
  • 2018Country-level social cost of carbon858 cited
  • 2006A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios805 cited
  • 2020The Future of Sensitivity Analysis: An essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support632 cited
  • 2006From comparative risk assessment to multi-criteria decision analysis and adaptive management: Recent developments and applications567 cited
  • 2009Thinking inside the box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery536 cited
  • 2007Managing the Risk of Uncertain Threshold Responses: Comparison of Robust, Optimum, and Precautionary Approaches465 cited
  • 2009Tourism travel under climate change mitigation constraints377 cited
  • 2004How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool?269 cited
  • 2012Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision Making and Info‐Gap Methods268 cited
  • 2004Characterizing Climate-Change Uncertainties for Decision-Makers. An Editorial Essay267 cited
  • 2005RISK, SECURITY, AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT254 cited
  • 2012Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty238 cited
  • 2019Robust Decision Making (RDM)237 cited
  • 2017The Exploratory Modeling Workbench: An open source toolkit for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and (multi-objective) robust decision making215 cited