Introduction to the concepts and methods of uncertainty analysis.

Keith R. Hayes · Helen M. Regan · Mark A. Burgman

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Risk and Safety Analysis Scientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation Genetically Modified Organisms Research

Abstract

This chapter provides a non-technical introduction to uncertainty analysis. The 3 main types of uncertainty commonly encountered in environmental risk assessment are discussed. The techniques to address these are identified. A number of practical analysis issues is highlighted. Only the most relevant methods for risk assessment of transgenic fish are given focus.

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1999An Introduction to Copulas 2000Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide 1994Propagation of Uncertainty in Risk Assessments: The Need to Distinguish Between Uncertainty Due to Lack of Knowledge and Uncertainty Due to Variability 1999Risk Modeling, Assessment, And Management 1996Different methods are needed to propagate ignorance and variability 1999Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment: A Handbook for Dealing with Variability and Uncertainty in Models and Inputs 2005Risks and decisions for conservation and environmental management 1974DISCUSSION PAPER: THE QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS OF PARTIALLY SPECIFIED SYSTEMS

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