Analysis of Short-term Trends in the Russian Economy: How to Clear the "Fog of the Present" away?

Abstract

The reasons of sharp deterioration of the analysis of short-term trends in the Russian economy are considered in the article. These reasons are caused by both the current state of the Russian economic statistics and wide distribution of inadequate technique of the analysis of short-term trends. Specific character of the economy in transition and current crisis complicate the problem as well. Possible consequences of the issues discussed are considered, and proposals to overcome them are formulated.

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