The Impact of Cross-Border E-Commerce Pilot Zone Policy on Urban Export Trade in China

Jun Luo · Junjie Li · Sijia Wei

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E-commerce and Technology Innovations Global trade and economics Economic Zones and Regional Development

Abstract

This study estimates the effect of the Cross-Border E-Commerce Pilot Zone (CBECPZ) policy on city-level exports in China. Using panel data for 83 Chinese cities from 2013 to 2024 and a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) design, we find that CBECPZ designation increases city-level exports by approximately 10% to 12%. The estimate remains stable across a variety of robustness checks and after accounting for spatial dependence. The spatial estimates also provide suggestive evidence of competition for mobile resources among designated cities.

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2003The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity 2009Introduction to Spatial Econometrics 2008Distorted Gravity: The Intensive and Extensive Margins of International Trade 2001Infrastructure, Geographical Disadvantage, Transport Costs, and Trade 1996Simple diagnostic tests for spatial dependence 2010Applied Spatial Econometrics: Raising the Bar 2012Credit Constraints, Heterogeneous Firms, and International Trade 2003The effect of the Internet on international trade

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