Human Belief Revision and the Order Effect

Hongbin Wang · Jiajie Zhang · Todd R. Johnson

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics Logic, Reasoning, and Knowledge

Abstract

The order effect, a phenomenon in which the final belief is significantly affected by the temporal order of information presentation, is a robust empirical finding in human belief revision.

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1983Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1996Decision-Making Under Uncertainty: Capturing Dynamic Brand Choice Processes in Turbulent Consumer Goods Markets 1989Explanatory Coherence 1970The web of belief 1959Recency and primacy in persuasion as a function of the timing of speeches and measurements.2020Order Effects in Human Belief Revision 1998The Relation Between Order Effects and Frequency Learning in Tactical Decision Making

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2022The effects of base rate neglect on sequential belief updating and real-world beliefs 2022The effects of base rate neglect on sequential belief updating and real-world beliefs

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