A THEORETICAL PREDICTION OF WORK-TRIP PATTERNS

Robert T. Howe

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Transportation Planning and Optimization Urban Transport and Accessibility Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis

Abstract

A NEW THEORY FOR PREDICTING TRAVEL PATTERNS IN URBAN AREAS IS PRESENTED. GIVEN THE DISTRIBUTION OF RESIDENCES OF WORKERS AND THE LOCATIONS OF ALL JOBS IN BOUNDED REGION, THE PROPOSED METHOD CAN BE USED TO DEVELOP THEORETICAL WORK-TRIP PATTERNS THAT APPROACH THE ACTUAL PATTERNS CLOSELY ENOUGH TO BE USABLE. THIS METHOD IS LESS COSTLY THAN A COMPREHENSIVE O-D SURVEY. FURTHER RESEARCH MAY LEAD TO THEORIES FOR PREDICTING SHOPPING-TRIP, PERSONAL-BUSINESS-TRIP, AND RECREATION-TRIP PATTERNS.

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1972Application of Gravity and Intervening Opportunities Models to Recreational Travel in Kentucky

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