Metody wczesnego ostrzegania o zmianach sytuacji finansowej przedsiębiorstw

Abstract

The article presents methods of the early warning of the Polish authorship as well as the modified scoring-based evaluation of the credit risk. A validation of the method variability was carried out basing on 20-enterprise-sample results from special economic zones. The article includes some conclusions which indicate i. a. that an attention should be paid on the different construction of indices when the analysis of an enterprise financial situation is performed. The indices are used to calculate a function value and weights of each index as well as mathematical signs which accompany the index weight. The evaluation of the enterprise financial situation should be made by many methods as well as in a few years' period. Results from one- or two-year period only do not allow to estimate the enterprise financial condition precisely. They can lead to wrong conclusions.

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