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The True Subjective Probability Problem
3 references·11 citing·26 second hop
The True Subjective Probability Problem (1974)The True Subjective Probability ProblemProbabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market (1972)Probabilistic forecasting: An…Admissible Probability Measurement Procedures (1966)Admissible Probability Measur…The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-baked Ideas (1964)The Scientist Speculates: An …The Rationality of Beliefs (2019)The Rationality of BeliefsThe Political Economy of Paternalist Policymaking (2019)The Political Economy of Pate…Slippery Slopes in Paternalist Policymaking (2019)Slippery Slopes in Paternalis…Rationality for Puppets (2019)Rationality for PuppetsKnowledge Problems in Paternalist Policymaking (2019)Knowledge Problems in Paterna…Deficient Foundations for Behavioral Policymaking (2019)Deficient Foundations for Beh…Common Threads, Escape Routes, and Paths Forward (2019)Common Threads, Escape Routes…Eliciting and estimating valid subjective probabilities: An experimental investigation of the exchangeability method (2012)Eliciting and estimating vali…DEMPSTER’S RULE AS SEEN BY LITTLE COLORED BALLS (2012)DEMPSTER’S RULE AS SEEN BY LI…Subjectivism, Objectivism and Objectivity in Bruno de Finetti’s Bayesianism (2001)Subjectivism, Objectivism and…Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs (1977)Measurement and Interpretatio…Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Consistency of Future Event Assessments (1977)La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)Field Experiments (2004)Expected loss utility for natural hazards and its application in pricing property insurance products (2021)Unpacking Overconfident Behavior When Betting on Oneself (2023)A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return (1993)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)On the dempster-shafer framework and new combination rules (1987)The combination of evidence in the transferable belief model (1990)Combining belief functions when evidence conflicts (2000)The Logic of Collective Action (1965)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)The scientist speculates (1962)Symmetry and its Discontents (2005)On Hans Reichenbach’s inductivism (2009)Delegated portfolio management (1985)Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds (2014)Differential Weighting: A Review of Methods and Empirical Studies (1970)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)A discussion on: Of Quantiles and Expectiles: Consistent Scoring Functions, Choquet Representations, and Forecast Ranking, by W. Ehm, T. Gneiting, A. Jordan, and A. Krueger (2016)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1966Admissible Probability Measurement Procedures257 cited
  • 1972Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market248 cited
  • 1964The Scientist Speculates: An Anthology of Partly-baked Ideas145 cited

Cited by

  • 2012DEMPSTER’S RULE AS SEEN BY LITTLE COLORED BALLS46 cited
  • 2001Subjectivism, Objectivism and Objectivity in Bruno de Finetti’s Bayesianism30 cited
  • 2012Eliciting and estimating valid subjective probabilities: An experimental investigation of the exchangeability method15 cited
  • 1977Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs5 cited
  • 2019Rationality for Puppets0 cited
  • 2019Knowledge Problems in Paternalist Policymaking0 cited
  • 2019The Political Economy of Paternalist Policymaking0 cited
  • 2019Common Threads, Escape Routes, and Paths Forward0 cited
  • 2019Slippery Slopes in Paternalist Policymaking0 cited
  • 2019Deficient Foundations for Behavioral Policymaking0 cited
  • 2019The Rationality of Beliefs0 cited

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