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List of Contributors. Preface. Acknowledgments. 1. An Overview of Economic Forecasting: Michael P. Clements and David H. Hendry. 2. Predictable Uncertainty in Economic Forecasting: Neil R. Ericsson. 3. Density Forecasting: A Survey: Anthony S. Tay and Kenneth F. Wallis. 4. Statistical Approaches to Modelling and Forecasting Time Series: Diego J. Pedregal and Peter C. Young. 5. Forecasting with Structural Time--Series Models: Tommaso Proietti. 6. Judgemental Forecasting: Dilek A-nkal--Atay, Mary E. Thomson and Andrew C. Pollock. 7. Forecasting for Policy: Adrian R. Pagan and John Robertson. 8. Forecasting Cointegrated VARMA Processes: Helmut Lutkepohl. 9. Multi--Step Forecasting: Raj Bhansali. 10. The Rationality and Efficiency of Individuals' Forecasts: Herman O. Stekler. 11. Decision--Theoretic Methods for Forecast Evaluation: M. Hashem Pesaran and Spyros Skouros. 12. Forecast Combination and Encompassing: Paul Newbold and David I. Harvey. 13. Testing Forecast Accuracy: Roberto S. Mariano. 14. Inference About Predictive Ability: Michael W. McCracken and Kenneth D. West. 15. Forecasting Competitions: Their Role in Improving Forecasting Practice and Research: Robert Fildes and Keith Ord. 16. Empirical Comparisons of Inflation Modelsa Forecast Accuracy: A yvind Eitrheim, Tore Anders Husebo, and Ragnar Nymoen. 17. The Forecasting Performance of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators for France, Germany, Italy, and the UK: Gonzalo Camba--Mendez, George Kapetanios, Martin R. Weale and Richard J. Smith. 18. Unit Root Versus Deterministic Representations of Seasonality for Forecasting: Denise R. Osborn. 19. Forecasting with Periodic Autoregressive Time Series Models: Philip Hans Franses and Richard Paap. 20. Non--Linear Models and Forecasting: Ruey S. Tsay. 21. Forecasting with Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models: Stefan Lundbergh and Timo Terasvirta. 22. Forecasting Financial Variables: Terence C. Mills. 23. Explaining Forecast Failure in Macroeconomics: Michael P. Clements and David F. Hendry. Author Index. Subject Index
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