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How Useful is Bagging in Forecasting Economic Time Series? A Case Study of US CPI Inflation
16 references·9 citing·43 second hop
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References

  • 1969The Combination of Forecasts3,194 cited
  • 2002Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors2,990 cited
  • 2002Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes2,550 cited
  • 2004Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach2,112 cited
  • 1993Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis1,912 cited
  • 1986Forecasting With Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience1,231 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices1,076 cited
  • 2003Monetary policy in a data-rich environment702 cited
  • 2002Stock return predictability and model uncertainty636 cited
  • 2004Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form631 cited
  • 2003Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information415 cited
  • 2003Do financial variables help forecasting inflation and real activity in the euro area?336 cited
  • 2002Stock Return Predictability: A Bayesian Model Selection Perspective332 cited
  • 2004COMBINING FORECASTING PROCEDURES: SOME THEORETICAL RESULTS221 cited
  • 2002The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: One-Sided Estimation and Forecasting

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219 cited
  • 2000The Generalized Factor Model: Identification and Estimation176 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2010Bagging or Combining (or Both)? An Analysis Based on Forecasting U.S. Employment Growth62 cited
    • 2020Macroeconomic forecasting using factor models and machine learning: an application to Japan53 cited
    • 2013Forecasting Binary Outcomes49 cited
    • 2013Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-Of-Sample than VAR Models?47 cited
    • 2014Sparse Partial Least Squares in Time Series for Macroeconomic Forecasting41 cited
    • 2016Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?41 cited
    • 2017Realized volatility forecast of agricultural futures using the HAR models with bagging and combination approaches40 cited
    • 2010FORECASTING REALIZED VOLATILITY WITH LINEAR AND NONLINEAR UNIVARIATE MODELS28 cited
    • 2008Inflation Persistence and the Taylor Principle21 cited