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Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output
16 references·5 citing·43 second hop
Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Future Output (2002)Stock Market Returns, Volatility, and Fut…Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models (2001)Tests of equal forecast accur…Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk (2001)Have Individual Stocks Become…The Econometrics of Financial Markets (1997)The Econometrics of Financial…Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation (1994)Automatic Lag Selection in Co…Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations (1991)Production-Based Asset Pricin…The Stock Market and Investment (1990)The Stock Market and Investme…Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? (1989)Why Does Stock Market Volatil…Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? (1989)Why Does Stock Market Volatil…Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Expected stock returns and vo…Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Stock Returns and the Term St…Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical Unemployment (1982)Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical …Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money (1981)Stock Returns, Real Activity,…On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation (1980)On Estimating the Expected Re…Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)The Pricing of Options and Co…An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)An Intertemporal Capital Asse…Cash Dividend Announcements and Stock Return Volatility: Evidence from India (2015)Cash Dividend Announcements a…Stock Market Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria (1980-2010) (2013)Stock Market Volatility and E…An investor sentiment barometer — Greek Implied Volatility Index (GRIV) (2012)An investor sentiment baromet…The role of stock markets vs. the term spread in forecasting macrovariables in Finland (2011)The role of stock markets vs.…Utilizing financial market information in forecasting real growth, inflation and real exchange rate (2010)Utilizing financial market in…MONEY, INCOME, AND CAUSALITY (1972)Economic Forces and the Stock Market (1986)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control (1995)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* (1974)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Theory of rational option pricing (2005)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)The distribution of realized stock return volatility (2001)Asymmetric correlations of equity portfolios (2002)Default Risk in Equity Returns (2004)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)Individualism and Momentum around the World (2010)Sentiment During Recessions (2012)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity (2008)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1973The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities29,064 cited
  • 1973An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model6,557 cited
  • 1997The Econometrics of Financial Markets5,007 cited
  • 1987Expected stock returns and volatility4,147 cited
  • 1980Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?4,020 cited
  • 1989Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?3,433 cited
  • 1994Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation3,242 cited
  • 1981Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money2,632 cited
  • 2001Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk2,419 cited
  • 1985Stock Returns and the Term Structure2,260 cited
  • 1989Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?1,209 cited
  • 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
  • 1982Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical Unemployment1,135 cited
  • 1991Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations1,125 cited
  • 1980On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation755 cited

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  • 1990The Stock Market and Investment691 cited
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    • 2012An investor sentiment barometer — Greek Implied Volatility Index (GRIV)41 cited
    • 2013Stock Market Volatility and Economic Growth in Nigeria (1980-2010)25 cited
    • 2015Cash Dividend Announcements and Stock Return Volatility: Evidence from India23 cited
    • 2010Utilizing financial market information in forecasting real growth, inflation and real exchange rate16 cited
    • 2011The role of stock markets vs. the term spread in forecasting macrovariables in Finland13 cited