FSUTMS Mode Choice Modeling: Factors Affecting Transit Use and Access

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Transportation Planning and Optimization Urban Transport and Accessibility Transportation and Mobility Innovations

Abstract

This study utilized the transit onboard survey data from the 2000 Southeast Florida Travel Characteristic Study to investigate the needs to incorporate additional variables other than travel time and costs into the modal split model of the Florida Standard Urban Transportation Model Structure (FSUTMS) to improve its transit forecasting capability.Factors including land use, demographics, the socioeconomic characteristics of the population, and transit supply were studied using regression analysis.GIS was used extensively for both data compilation and spatial analysis.The study identified a number of transit supply variables as well as population, employment density, and land use mix as strong indicators of transit use.Analysis of transit walk accessibility indicated that transit use beyond one half mile was minimum.A methodology was developed for estimating the percentage of transit service population in a zone, which proved to be a better indicator of transit use than the commonly used buffer method.Regression models that may be used for estimating and forecasting, for a future model year, the percentage of population and workers served by transit were also developed.17.

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References

1977Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control 1997A micro-analysis of land use and travel in five neighborhoods in the San Francisco Bay Area 1994Impacts of Mixed Use and Density on Utilization of Three Modes of Travel: Single-Occupant Vehicle, Transit, and Walking 2003Transit capacity and quality of service manual 1989CITIES AND AUTOMOBILE DEPENDENCE: AN INTERNATIONAL SOURCEBOOK 1997Travel Behavior as Function of Accessibility, Land Use Mixing, and Land Use Balance: Evidence from San Francisco Bay Area 1990Cities and automobile dependence: An international sourcebook 1995Commuting in Transit Versus Automobile Neighborhoods

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2008THE EFFECT OF TRANSPORTATION SUBSIDIES ON URBAN SPRAWL*2005Measuring Access to Public Transportation Services: Review of Customer-Oriented Transit Performance Measures and Methods of Transit Submarket Identification 2004IMPACTS OF ACCESSIBILITY, CONNECTIVITY AND MODE CAPTIVITY ON TRANSIT CHOICE 2009Characteristics of Mode Choice within Mass Transit Catchments Area 2005Parcel-Level Mesure of Public Transit Accessibility to Destinations

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