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Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation
16 references·2 citing·33 second hop
Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation (2001)Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in…Rule-based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations (2007)Rule-based Forecasting: Devel…Principles of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingEvaluating Forecasting Methods (2001)Evaluating Forecasting MethodsThe M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)The M3-Competition: results, …Generalising about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence (1998)Generalising about univariate…Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (1992)Error measures for generalizi…Interaction of Judgemental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues & Analysis (1991)Interaction of Judgemental an…Exponential smoothing: The state of the art (1985)Exponential smoothing: The st…The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)The accuracy of extrapolation…Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer). (1981)Long Range Forecasting (From …Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer (1979)Long-Range Forecasting: From …Forecasting: An appraisal for policy-makers and planners (1979)Forecasting: An appraisal for…Forecasting (1979)ForecastingAccuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation (1979)Accuracy of Forecasting: An E…Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Time Series Analysis: Forecas…Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Time Series Analysis Forecast…Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists (2018)Forecasting methods and princ…Expert Systems for Forecasting (2001)Expert Systems for ForecastingThe Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)ARMA Models and the Box-Jenkins Methodology (1997)Time series forecasts of international travel demand for Australia (2002)Forecasting and operational research: a review (2008)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions (2020)Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (1960)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Forecasting Economic Time Series (2000)Forecasting Time Series With Complex Seasonal Patterns Using Exponential Smoothing (2011)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Forecasting methods and applications (1993)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)A new metric of absolute percentage error for intermittent demand forecasts (2016)An evaluation of Delphi (1991)What Can History Teach Us? A Retrospective Examination of Long-Term Energy Forecasts for the United States (2002)Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty (2012)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique (2001)Consensus measurement in Delphi studies (2012)Rethinking Partial Least Squares Path Modeling: In Praise of Simple Methods (2012)The Delphi Technique in Educational Research (2014)Using Delphi technique to build consensus in practice (2014)Some recent development in a concept of causality (1988)Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties (2002)
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References

  • 1977Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control19,200 cited
  • 1971Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control.6,714 cited
  • 2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications1,700 cited
  • 1982The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition1,465 cited
  • 1985Exponential smoothing: The state of the art1,461 cited
  • 1992Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons1,400 cited
  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,178 cited
  • 1979Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation514 cited
  • 1981Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer).357 cited
  • 1979Forecasting: An appraisal for policy-makers and planners294 cited
  • 2007Rule-based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations277 cited
  • 1979Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer226 cited
  • 1991Interaction of Judgemental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues & Analysis187 cited
  • 2001Evaluating Forecasting Methods183 cited
  • 1979Forecasting160 cited

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1998
Generalising about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence
151 cited

Cited by

  • 2018Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists43 cited
  • 2001Expert Systems for Forecasting43 cited