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Forecasting Future Volatility from Option Prices
16 references·11 citing·34 second hop
Forecasting Future Volatility from Option Prices (2000)Forecasting Future Volatility from Option…Implied volatility functions: empirical tests (2002)Implied volatility functions:…Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns (2001)Forecasting S&P 100 volatilit…The relation between implied and realized volatility (1998)The relation between implied …The quality of market volatility forecasts implied by S&P 100 index option prices (1998)The quality of market volatil…Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models (1997)Empirical Performance of Alte…Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices (1996)Recovering Probability Distri…Predicting Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market (1995)Predicting Volatility in the …The Informational Content of Implied Volatility (1993)The Informational Content of …Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities (1993)Forecasting Stock-Return Vari…A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)A Closed-Form Solution for Op…The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)The Pricing of Options on Ass…A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)A Theory of the Term Structur…Standard deviations implied in option prices as predictors of future stock price variability (1981)Standard deviations implied i…The information content of option prices and a test of market efficiency (1978)The information content of op…STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF STOCK PRICE RATIOS IMPLIED IN OPTION PRICES (1976)STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF STOCK …THE VALUATION OF OPTION CONTRACTS AND A TEST OF MARKET EFFICIENCY (1972)THE VALUATION OF OPTION CONTR…The forecasting accuracy of implied volatility from ECX carbon options (2014)The forecasting accuracy of i…The importance of the volatility risk premium for volatility forecasting (2013)The importance of the volatil…Equity volatility, bond yields, and yield spreads (2011)Equity volatility, bond yield…Microstructural biases in empirical tests of option pricing models (2009)Microstructural biases in emp…The information content of option implied volatility surrounding the 1997 Hong Kong stock market crash (2007)The information content of op…Foreign Exchange, Fractional Cointegration and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation (2007)Foreign Exchange, Fractional …Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter? (2007)Forecasting foreign exchange …Using Implied Volatility to Measure Uncertainty About Interest Rates (2005)Using Implied Volatility to M…The quality of volatility traded on the over‐the‐counter currency market: A multiple horizons study (2003)The quality of volatility tra…The interrelation of price volatility and trading volume of currency options (2003)The interrelation of price vo…Stock return dynamics, option volume, and the information content of implied volatility (2003)Stock return dynamics, option…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Delta-Hedged Gains and the Negative Market Volatility Risk Premium (2003)The Model-Free Implied Volatility and Its Information Content (2005)Momentum crashes (2016)Prices of State-Contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices (1978)Implied Binomial Trees (1994)Nonparametric Estimation of State‐Price Densities Implicit in Financial Asset Prices (1998)Do Stock Prices and Volatility Jump? Reconciling Evidence from Spot and Option Prices (2004)Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance * (2012)Stock Returns and Volatility (1990)Risk and Volatility: Econometric Models and Financial Practice (2004)Theory of rational option pricing (2005)Theory of Rational Option Pricing (1973)Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-diffusions (2000)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)Applied Economic Forecasting (1967)The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)Expected Option Returns (2001)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Application of neural networks to an emerging financial market: forecasting and trading the Taiwan Stock Index (2002)Conditional volatility, skewness, and kurtosis: existence, persistence, and comovements (2003)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Analysis of Financial Time Series (2006)Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model (1971)An equilibrium characterization of the term structure (1977)Bond Pricing and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A New Methodology for Contingent Claims Valuation (1992)Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. (1993)Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility (1993)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Stock market volatility and the information content of stock index options (1992)Forecasting daily variability of the S&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements (2005)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1993A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options8,768 cited
  • 1985A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates8,333 cited
  • 1987The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities3,864 cited
  • 1997Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models2,708 cited
  • 1998The relation between implied and realized volatility1,114 cited
  • 1996Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices1,086 cited
  • 1993The Informational Content of Implied Volatility761 cited
  • 1995Predicting Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market723 cited
  • 1972THE VALUATION OF OPTION CONTRACTS AND A TEST OF MARKET EFFICIENCY718 cited
  • 1976STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF STOCK PRICE RATIOS IMPLIED IN OPTION PRICES642 cited
  • 2001Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns589 cited
  • 1993Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities529 cited
  • 1978The information content of option prices and a test of market efficiency485 cited
  • 1998The quality of market volatility forecasts implied by S&P 100 index option prices476 cited
  • 1981

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Standard deviations implied in option prices as predictors of future stock price variability
371 cited
  • 2002Implied volatility functions: empirical tests101 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2013The importance of the volatility risk premium for volatility forecasting61 cited
    • 2003Stock return dynamics, option volume, and the information content of implied volatility52 cited
    • 2009Microstructural biases in empirical tests of option pricing models45 cited
    • 2014The forecasting accuracy of implied volatility from ECX carbon options40 cited
    • 2007Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?40 cited
    • 2003The quality of volatility traded on the over‐the‐counter currency market: A multiple horizons study39 cited
    • 2007The information content of option implied volatility surrounding the 1997 Hong Kong stock market crash36 cited
    • 2005Using Implied Volatility to Measure Uncertainty About Interest Rates34 cited
    • 2007Foreign Exchange, Fractional Cointegration and the Implied-Realized Volatility Relation32 cited
    • 2011Equity volatility, bond yields, and yield spreads31 cited
    • 2003The interrelation of price volatility and trading volume of currency options29 cited