Retrospective Bias in the Displaced Worker Surveys

David S. Evans · Linda S. Leighton

53 citations0/0 files storedThe Journal of Human Resources

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Labor market dynamics and wage inequality Retirement, Disability, and Employment Survey Methodology and Nonresponse

Abstract

The Displaced Worker Survey of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics understates the number of workers displaced over the preceding five years covered by the survey by approximately one-third. The bias results from the fact that respondents' memory of displacement erodes over time. Memory loss is not randomly distributed across demographic groups, thereby making analyses based on these survey data suspect. The note reports memory-loss adjusted estimates of the number of displaced workers between 1979 and 1989 based on Displaced Worker Surveys for 1984, 1986, 1988, and 1990.

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References

1973Effects of Time and Memory Factors on Response in Surveys 1987Job Displacement and Earnings Loss: Evidence from the Displaced Worker Survey 1989What Do We Know About Worker Displacement in the U.S.?1987The Costs of Worker Displacement 1985Unemployment through the Filter of Memory 1987The Effect of Advance Notification of Plant Closings on Unemployment 1988International Trade and the Labor Market Experience of Displaced Workers

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