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Stock Prices, News, and Business Conditions
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Stock Prices, News, and Business Conditions (1993)Stock Prices, News, and Business Conditio…Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity (1990)Stock Returns, Expected Retur…Stock Returns and Real Activity: A Century of Evidence (1990)Stock Returns and Real Activi…Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? (1989)Why Does Stock Market Volatil…Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? (1989)Why Does Stock Market Volatil…Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Business conditions and expec…A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)A New Approach to the Economi…What Moves Stock Prices? (1988)What Moves Stock Prices?The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances (1988)The Dynamic Effects of Aggreg…Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Expected stock returns and vo…Economic Forces and the Stock Market (1986)Economic Forces and the Stock…The Fiscal and Monetary Linkage Between Stock Returns and Inflation (1983)The Fiscal and Monetary Linka…Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1983)Forward Rates and Future Poli…Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money (1981)Stock Returns, Real Activity,…Asset returns and inflation (1977)Asset returns and inflationVolatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency? (2018)Volatility connectedness in t…How Much Do Investors Care About Macroeconomic Risk? Evidence from Scheduled Economic Announcements (2013)How Much Do Investors Care Ab…Predictive regressions with time-varying coefficients (2012)Predictive regressions with t…Market response to policy initiatives during the global financial crisis (2011)Market response to policy ini…Investor sentiment and the stock market’s reaction to monetary policy (2009)Investor sentiment and the st…Macroeconomic cycles and the stock market’s reaction to monetary policy (2008)Macroeconomic cycles and the …Stock and Bond Market Liquidity: A Long-Run Empirical Analysis (2007)Stock and Bond Market Liquidi…Macro variables and international stock return predictability (2004)Macro variables and internati…Economic News and the Impact of Trading on Bond Prices (2004)Economic News and the Impact …Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange (2002)Micro Effects of Macro Announ…Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns (2002)Macroeconomic Factors Do Infl…Economic tracking portfolios (2001)Economic tracking portfoliosPresidential Address: Expected Return, Realized Return, and Asset Pricing Tests (1999)Presidential Address: Expecte…Macroeconomic news and bond market volatility1We thank Walter Toshi Baily, Bob Korajczyk, Jim Poterba, Mark Watson, seminar participants at the University of Chicago, Columbia University, Cornell University, and the University of Montreal, and especially Ludger Hentschel (the referee) for helpful comments. We also thank Mark Mitchell for supplying data, and Amy C. Ko and Sydney Ludvigson for research assistance. Lamont was supported by the FMC Faculty Research Fund at the Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago. A portion of this research was completed while Lumsdaine was a National Fellow at the Hoover Institution. We also thank the Financial Research Center at Princeton University for support. A previous version of this paper circulated as `Public Information and the Persistence of Bond Market Volatility'.1 (1998)Macroeconomic news and bond m…Public Information Arrival (1994)Public Information ArrivalInternational Evidence on the Robustness of the Day-of-the-Week Effect (1993)International Evidence on the…Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts (1980)Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series (1988)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models (1996)An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area (2003)What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure (2005)MONEY, INCOME, AND CAUSALITY (1972)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing (1976)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Industry costs of equity (1997)Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices (1988)Deutsche Mark–Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies (1998)Differences of Opinion, Short-Sales Constraints, and Market Crashes (2003)Sentiment During Recessions (2012)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981)Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations (1991)Idiosyncratic Risk Matters! (2003)There is a risk-return trade-off after all (2005)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)
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References

  • 1989A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle9,681 cited
  • 1986Economic Forces and the Stock Market5,258 cited
  • 1987Expected stock returns and volatility4,147 cited
  • 1988The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances3,940 cited
  • 1989Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds3,934 cited
  • 1989Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?3,433 cited
  • 1977Asset returns and inflation2,701 cited
  • 1981Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money2,632 cited
  • 1990Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity1,553 cited
  • 1988What Moves Stock Prices?1,255 cited
  • 1989Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?1,209 cited
  • 1983The Fiscal and Monetary Linkage Between Stock Returns and Inflation978 cited
  • 1990Stock Returns and Real Activity: A Century of Evidence733 cited
  • 1983Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates562 cited

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  • 2012Predictive regressions with time-varying coefficients549 cited

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1999
Presidential Address: Expected Return, Realized Return, and Asset Pricing Tests
545 cited
  • 2018Volatility connectedness in the cryptocurrency market: Is Bitcoin a dominant cryptocurrency?436 cited
  • 2004Economic News and the Impact of Trading on Bond Prices413 cited
  • 2013How Much Do Investors Care About Macroeconomic Risk? Evidence from Scheduled Economic Announcements410 cited
  • 2009Investor sentiment and the stock market’s reaction to monetary policy379 cited
  • 2004Macro variables and international stock return predictability351 cited
  • 1998Macroeconomic news and bond market volatility1We thank Walter Toshi Baily, Bob Korajczyk, Jim Poterba, Mark Watson, seminar participants at the University of Chicago, Columbia University, Cornell University, and the University of Montreal, and especially Ludger Hentschel (the referee) for helpful comments. We also thank Mark Mitchell for supplying data, and Amy C. Ko and Sydney Ludvigson for research assistance. Lamont was supported by the FMC Faculty Research Fund at the Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago. A portion of this research was completed while Lumsdaine was a National Fellow at the Hoover Institution. We also thank the Financial Research Center at Princeton University for support. A previous version of this paper circulated as `Public Information and the Persistence of Bond Market Volatility'.1342 cited
  • 2002Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange339 cited
  • 1994Public Information Arrival337 cited
  • 2007Stock and Bond Market Liquidity: A Long-Run Empirical Analysis272 cited
  • 2001Economic tracking portfolios270 cited
  • 1993International Evidence on the Robustness of the Day-of-the-Week Effect261 cited
  • 2008Macroeconomic cycles and the stock market’s reaction to monetary policy247 cited
  • 2011Market response to policy initiatives during the global financial crisis235 cited
  • 2002Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns235 cited