Patterns of childbearing in Russia 1994 - 1998

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the determinants of births in Russia in the 1990s and the changes in their effects since the 1980s and factors influencing fertility intentions in the 1990s.In the first part, based on the current social and economic situation in Russia, specific hypotheses for different parities (realized and intended fertility) are developed and subsequently tested by using logistic regression methods.On the basis of the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS) we find that the social differentiation that took place in Russia in the 1990s resulted in an increasing importance of economic conditions for a first, second or third birth.The same applies to parity-specific intentions. 1 The views expressed in this paper are the author's views and do not necessarily reflect those of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.We are greatly indebted to Jan M. Hoem and Sergey Zakharov for many helpful comments, suggestions and discussions.

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