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Does implied volatility provide any information beyond that captured in model-based volatility forecasts?
16 references·16 citing·40 second hopsampled
Does implied volatility provide any information beyond that captured in model-based volatility forecasts? (2007)Does implied volatility provide any infor…Predicting volatility: getting the most out of return data sampled at different frequencies (2005)Predicting volatility: gettin…Forecasting daily variability of the S&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements (2005)Forecasting daily variability…Forecasting currency volatility: A comparison of implied volatilities and AR(FI)MA models (2004)Forecasting currency volatili…Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Modeling and Forecasting Real…Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review (2003)Forecasting Volatility in Fin…The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility (2001)The Distribution of Realized …Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns (2001)Forecasting S&P 100 volatilit…The relation between implied and realized volatility (1998)The relation between implied …The quality of market volatility forecasts implied by S&P 100 index option prices (1998)The quality of market volatil…Tests for Forecast Encompassing (1998)Tests for Forecast Encompassi…Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Testing the equality of predi…Predicting Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market (1995)Predicting Volatility in the …On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks (1993)On the Relation between the E…Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility (1993)Measuring and Testing the Imp…Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities (1993)Forecasting Stock-Return Vari…Stock market volatility and the information content of stock index options (1992)Stock market volatility and t…Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review (2024)Prediction of realized volati…The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic (2022)The driving forces of green b…Investors’ risk perceptions in the US and global stock market integration (2020)Investors’ risk perceptions i…Implied volatility indices – A review (2020)Implied volatility indices – …Efficient predictability of stock return volatility: The role of stock market implied volatility (2020)Efficient predictability of s…Volatility dynamics under an endogenous Markov-switching framework: a cross-market approach (2018)Volatility dynamics under an …Forecasting stock market volatility and information content of implied volatility index (2017)Forecasting stock market vola…“De-financialization” of commodities? Evidence from stock, crude oil and natural gas markets (2017)“De-financialization” of comm…Forecasting Stock Return Volatility: A Comparison of GARCH, Implied Volatility, and Realized Volatility Models (2016)Forecasting Stock Return Vola…The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from European Data (2013)The Effects of Oil Price Shoc…Overnight stock returns and realized volatility (2013)Overnight stock returns and r…The information content of the S&P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S&P 500 index (2011)The information content of th…The predictive power of the implied volatility of options traded OTC and on exchanges (2009)The predictive power of the i…The information content of implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations: Evidence from options written on individual stocks (2009)The information content of im…Forecasting volatility with support vector machine‐based GARCH model (2009)Forecasting volatility with s…Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior? (2007)Are combination forecasts of …The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Delta-Hedged Gains and the Negative Market Volatility Risk Premium (2003)The Model-Free Implied Volatility and Its Information Content (2005)Momentum crashes (2016)Rank Correlation Methods. (1957)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Pooling of forecasts (2004)Time-Varying Risk Premiums and the Output Gap (2008)Short interest and aggregate stock returns (2016)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Application of neural networks to an emerging financial market: forecasting and trading the Taiwan Stock Index (2002)Conditional volatility, skewness, and kurtosis: existence, persistence, and comovements (2003)Coherent Measures of Risk (1999)A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility (2008)On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms (2014)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement (2010)Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting (2010)Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility (2015)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)The distribution of realized stock return volatility (2001)No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements (2002)Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards (2004)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Value-at-Risk Prediction: A Comparison of Alternative Strategies (2005)Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies (2010)Financial time series forecasting model based on CEEMDAN and LSTM (2018)Asymmetric volatility transmission in international stock markets (1995)Volatility spillover effects from Japan and the US to the Pacific–Basin (2000)What good is a volatility model? (2001)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1993On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks9,041 cited
  • 2003Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility3,887 cited
  • 2001The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility2,108 cited
  • 1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors2,103 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review1,373 cited
  • 1998The relation between implied and realized volatility1,114 cited
  • 2005Predicting volatility: getting the most out of return data sampled at different frequencies813 cited
  • 1998Tests for Forecast Encompassing786 cited
  • 1993Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility755 cited
  • 1995Predicting Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market723 cited
  • 1992Stock market volatility and the information content of stock index options667 cited
  • 2001Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns589 cited
  • 2005Forecasting daily variability of the S&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements551 cited
  • 1993Forecasting Stock-Return Variance: Toward an Understanding of Stochastic Implied Volatilities529 cited

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1998
The quality of market volatility forecasts implied by S&P 100 index option prices
476 cited
  • 2004Forecasting currency volatility: A comparison of implied volatilities and AR(FI)MA models296 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2013The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from European Data186 cited
    • 2017“De-financialization” of commodities? Evidence from stock, crude oil and natural gas markets151 cited
    • 2020Efficient predictability of stock return volatility: The role of stock market implied volatility116 cited
    • 2009The information content of implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations: Evidence from options written on individual stocks111 cited
    • 2007Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?94 cited
    • 2022The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic88 cited
    • 2009Forecasting volatility with support vector machine‐based GARCH model87 cited
    • 2016Forecasting Stock Return Volatility: A Comparison of GARCH, Implied Volatility, and Realized Volatility Models84 cited
    • 2024Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review73 cited
    • 2013Overnight stock returns and realized volatility68 cited
    • 2020Implied volatility indices – A review67 cited
    • 2009The predictive power of the implied volatility of options traded OTC and on exchanges65 cited
    • 2011The information content of the S&P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S&P 500 index54 cited
    • 2017Forecasting stock market volatility and information content of implied volatility index51 cited
    • 2018Volatility dynamics under an endogenous Markov-switching framework: a cross-market approach50 cited
    • 2020Investors’ risk perceptions in the US and global stock market integration46 cited