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The psychology of moderate prediction
11 references·16 citing·34 second hop
The psychology of moderate prediction (1990)The psychology of moderate predictionSuppressing natural heuristics by formal instruction: The case of the conjunction fallacy (1989)Suppressing natural heuristic…Social roles and strategies in prediction: Some determinants of the use of base-rate information. (1984)Social roles and strategies i…The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning. (1983)The use of statistical heuris…Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty (1982)Causal schemas in judgments u…The effects of base rates and individuating information on judgments about another person (1980)The effects of base rates and…Subjective sensitivity analysis (1979)Subjective sensitivity analys…Intuitive theories of events and the effects of base-rate information on prediction. (1977)Intuitive theories of events …The processes of causal attribution. (1973)The processes of causal attri…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Cue-Consistency and Cue-Utilization in Judgment (1966)Cue-Consistency and Cue-Utili…Heuristics and stock buying decision: Evidence from Malaysian and Pakistani stock markets (2017)Heuristics and stock buying d…Do people treat missing information adaptively when making inferences? (2009)Do people treat missing infor…Use of heuristics: Insights from forecasting research (2006)Use of heuristics: Insights f…Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2004)Attribute Substitution in Int…Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics” (2002)Sympathetic Magical Thinking:…Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should” (2002)Self-Anchoring in Conversatio…Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic (2002)Putting Adjustment Back in th…Probability Judgment across Cultures (2002)Probability Judgment across C…Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Realit…Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem (2002)Mental Contamination and the …Heuristics and Biases in Application (2002)Heuristics and Biases in Appl…Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting (2002)Durability Bias in Affective …Do Analysts Overreact? (2002)Do Analysts Overreact?Overreaction and underreaction in analysts' forecasts (1998)Overreaction and underreactio…Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)Resistance of personal risk p…Judging the strength of designated evidence (1992)Judging the strength of desig…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)The Two Forms of Belief in a Just World (1998)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)Revisiting positionality and the thesis of situated knowledge (2019)The Oxford Handbook of Experimental Semantics and Pragmatics (2019)A Theory of Social Comparison Processes (1954)The Psychology of Interpersonal Relations. (1958)Cognitive, social, and physiological determinants of emotional state. (1962)Self-serving biases in the attribution of causality: Fact or fiction? (1975)The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes (1977)The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)The extended contact effect: Knowledge of cross-group friendships and prejudice. (1997)The Career of Metaphor. (2005)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Identification and inferential processes in dispositional attribution. (1986)Social stereotypes and information-processing strategies: The impact of task complexity. (1987)The impact of mothers' gender-role stereotypic beliefs on mothers' and children's ability perceptions. (1992)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Sociopolitical Dynamics In Relations Between Top Managers and Security Analysts: Favor Rendering, Reciprocity, and Analyst Stock Recommendations (2008)Everyday magical powers: The role of apparent mental causation in the overestimation of personal influence. (2006)Information Markets: A New Way of Making Decisions (2009)What's in a Term? Paranormal, Superstitious, Magical and Supernatural Beliefs by Any Other Name Would Mean the Same (2012)Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)The role of theories in conceptual coherence. (1985)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Social Cognition And Social Perception (1987)Explaining the evidence: Tests of the Story Model for juror decision making. (1992)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1973The processes of causal attribution.4,031 cited
  • 1983The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning.811 cited
  • 1982Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty613 cited
  • 1977Intuitive theories of events and the effects of base-rate information on prediction.503 cited
  • 1980The effects of base rates and individuating information on judgments about another person185 cited
  • 1979Subjective sensitivity analysis181 cited
  • 1966Cue-Consistency and Cue-Utilization in Judgment163 cited
  • 1989Suppressing natural heuristics by formal instruction: The case of the conjunction fallacy150 cited
  • 1984Social roles and strategies in prediction: Some determinants of the use of base-rate information.148 cited

Cited by

  • 2002Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives289 cited
  • 1998Overreaction and underreaction in analysts' forecasts237 cited
  • 2002Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”191 cited
  • 1995Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.

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166 cited
  • 2002Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem160 cited
  • 2002Do Analysts Overreact?82 cited
  • 2006Use of heuristics: Insights from forecasting research73 cited
  • 1992Judging the strength of designated evidence71 cited
  • 2017Heuristics and stock buying decision: Evidence from Malaysian and Pakistani stock markets70 cited
  • 2002Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should”67 cited
  • 2002Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting66 cited
  • 2009Do people treat missing information adaptively when making inferences?58 cited
  • 2002Probability Judgment across Cultures54 cited
  • 2004Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment53 cited
  • 2002Heuristics and Biases in Application51 cited
  • 2002Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic50 cited