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Before the vote: forecasting American national elections
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  • 2008Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors?144 cited
  • 2008Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election with the Time-for-Change Model110 cited
  • 2005Elections and Markets: The Effect of Partisanship, Policy Risk, and Electoral Margins on the Economy106 cited
  • 2015The Timeline of Elections: A Comparative Perspective100 cited
  • 2007Modernizing Political Science: A Model-Based Approach97 cited
  • 1999Temporal Order and Causal Inference97 cited
  • 2015The myopic voter? The economy and US presidential elections92 cited
  • 2009So, What Difference Do Leaders Make? Candidates’ Images and the “Conditionality” of Leader Effects on Voting90 cited
  • 2007Partisan Preferences, Electoral Prospects, and Economic Expectations71 cited
  • 2011“Wisdom of crowds”? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens’ local expectations70 cited
  • 2008US presidential election forecasting: An introduction48 cited
  • 2008Forecasting presidential elections: When to change the model40 cited
  • 2002Wirkungen von Wahlprognosen auf Wahlen15 cited

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