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Quantitative Risk Analysis: A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modelling

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Capital Investment and Risk Analysis Construction Project Management and Performance Simulation Techniques and Applications

Abstract

Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation Modelling Probability and Statistics Theory Review A Guide to Probability Distributions Building a Risk Analysis Model Determining Input Distributions from Expert Opinion Determining Input Distributions from Available Data Modelling Dependencies Between Distributions Project Risk Analysis Adding Uncertainty to Forecasts Presenting and Interpreting Risk Analysis Results A Selection of Worked Problems.

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