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The Psychological Concept of Subjective Probability: A Measurement-Theoretic View
16 references·2 citing·33 second hop
The Psychological Concept of Subjective Probability: A Measurement-Theoretic View (1974)The Psychological Concept of Subjective P…Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)Theory of games and economic …Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Conservatism in human informa…A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Utility Theory for Decision Making (1971)Utility Theory for Decision M…Foundations of Measurement, Vol. I: Additive and Polynomial Representations (1971)Foundations of Measurement, V…Conjoint-measurement analysis of composition rules in psychology. (1971)Conjoint-measurement analysis…UTILITY THEORY FOR DECISION MAKING (1970)UTILITY THEORY FOR DECISION M…The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions (1968)The Consensus of Subjective P…“Good” Probability Assessors (1968)“Good” Probability AssessorsWhat Price Ambiguity? or the Role of Ambiguity in Decision-Making (1964)What Price Ambiguity? or the …Simultaneous conjoint measurement: A new type of fundamental measurement (1964)Simultaneous conjoint measure…Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Sava…8. On A Distinction Between Hypothetical Constructs And Intervening Variables (1948)8. On A Distinction Between H…Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (1945)Theory of Games and Economic …La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)La prévision : ses lois logiq…Direct and indirect scaling of membership functions of probability phrases (1987)Direct and indirect scaling o…Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs (1977)Measurement and Interpretatio…Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Testability and Meaning (1936)Drives and the C. N. S. (conceptual nervous system). (1955)Causal explanations as a risk factor for depression: Theory and evidence. (1984)Motivated closing of the mind: "Seizing" and "freezing." (1996)Handbook of mathematical psychology: I. (1963)Conjoint Analysis in Consumer Research: Issues and Outlook (1978)The Rasch measurement model in rheumatology: What is it and why use it? When should it be applied, and what should one look for in a Rasch paper? (2007)Conducting Discrete Choice Experiments to Inform Healthcare Decision Making (2008)Topological methods in cardinal utility theory (2008)Learning to Be Overconfident (2001)The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis (2004)Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances (2015)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior (1989)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Toward a positive theory of consumer choice (1980)Non-cooperative games (1989)On Economic Inequality (1973)The structure of random utility models (1977)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1985)Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality (1987)Multiagent systems: algorithmic, game-theoretic, and logical foundations (2009)Evolutionary Game Theory (2011)A model of investor sentiment /The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)
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References

  • 2019Theory of games and economic behavior16,630 cited
  • 1961Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms7,892 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1945Theory of Games and Economic Behavior3,887 cited
  • 1971Utility Theory for Decision Making2,460 cited
  • 1964Simultaneous conjoint measurement: A new type of fundamental measurement2,008 cited
  • 1937La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives1,649 cited
  • 1970UTILITY THEORY FOR DECISION MAKING1,614 cited
  • 19488. On A Distinction Between Hypothetical Constructs And Intervening Variables1,113 cited
  • 1982Conservatism in human information processing1,004 cited
  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 1971Foundations of Measurement, Vol. I: Additive and Polynomial Representations757 cited
  • 1971Conjoint-measurement analysis of composition rules in psychology.378 cited
  • 1964What Price Ambiguity? or the Role of Ambiguity in Decision-Making373 cited
  • 1968The Consensus of Subjective Probability Distributions370 cited
  • 1968

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“Good” Probability Assessors
338 cited

Cited by

  • 1987Direct and indirect scaling of membership functions of probability phrases62 cited
  • 1977Measurement and Interpretation of Beliefs5 cited