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Empirically based specification of forecast uncertainty
10 references·2 citing·36 second hop
Empirically based specification of forecast uncertainty (2008)Empirically based specification of foreca…Statistical Demography and Forecasting (2005)Statistical Demography and Fo…Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area (2004)Empirical errors and predicte…Norway's Uncertain Demographic Future (2001)Norway's Uncertain Demographi…Population Forecasting 1895–1945 (1999)Population Forecasting 1895–1…The Practical Specification of the Expected Error of Population Forecasts (1997)The Practical Specification o…Stochastic methods in population forecasting (1990)Stochastic methods in populat…The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)The Accuracy of Population Pr…The Methods and Materials of Demography. (1977)The Methods and Materials of …Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility (1974)Forecasting Births in Post-Tr…The Probability of a Cessation of the Growth of Population in England and Wales During the Next Century (1895)The Probability of a Cessatio…Uncertainty in Population Forecasts for the Twenty-First Century (2020)Uncertainty in Population For…LONGEVITY, WORKING LIVES, AND PUBLIC FINANCES (2017)LONGEVITY, WORKING LIVES, AND…On the Rate of Growth of the Population of the United States since 1790 and Its Mathematical Representation (1920)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level (1993)Microsimulation methods for population projection (1998)Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - illustrated by the case of Norway (2002)Principles of Demography. (1969)On Future Population (1972)The Formal Dynamics of Controlled Populations and the Echo, the Boom and the Bust (1974)Sustaining Fiscal Policy through Immigration (2000)Global demographic trends and social security reform (2006)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH (1995)New forecast: Population decline postponed in Europe (2006)Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries (2007)Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility (2018)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)Specification Tests in Econometrics (1978)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)MAPE-R: a rescaled measure of accuracy for cross-sectional subnational population forecasts (2011)Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries (2013)Dynamic Product Positioning in Differentiated Product Markets: The Effect of Fees for Musical Performance Rights on the Commercial Radio Industry (2013)Population Growth and Earth's Human Carrying Capacity (1995)Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries (2011)Absent and Problematic Men: Demographic Accounts of Male Reproductive Roles (2000)Chinese SF-36 Health Survey: translation, cultural adaptation, validation, and normalisation (2003)The Impact of Nearly Universal Insurance Coverage on Health Care Utilization: Evidence from Medicare (2008)Perspectives on mortality forecasting (2003)Contemporary Developments in Applied Demography within the United States (2004)The Cohort-Component Population Projection: A Strange Attractor for Demographers (2017)A Review of Demographic Forecasting Models for Mortality (2001)An Evaluation of Population Projections by Age (2003)Population Forecast Errors (2008)The Prospects for Population Forecasts (1955)Demographic Metabolism: A Predictive Theory of Socioeconomic Change (2013)Probabilistic population forecasting: Short to very long-term (2021)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1977The Methods and Materials of Demography.692 cited
  • 1983The Accuracy of Population Projections241 cited
  • 2005Statistical Demography and Forecasting221 cited
  • 1990Stochastic methods in population forecasting149 cited
  • 1974Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility128 cited
  • 1895The Probability of a Cessation of the Growth of Population in England and Wales During the Next Century88 cited
  • 2004Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area66 cited
  • 1997The Practical Specification of the Expected Error of Population Forecasts59 cited
  • 1999Population Forecasting 1895–194545 cited
  • 2001Norway's Uncertain Demographic Future28 cited

Cited by

  • 2020Uncertainty in Population Forecasts for the Twenty-First Century22 cited
  • 2017LONGEVITY, WORKING LIVES, AND PUBLIC FINANCES13 cited

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