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Subjective Probability and Human Judgement
16 references·2 citing·33 second hop
Subjective Probability and Human Judgement (2014)Subjective Probability and Human JudgementThe base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges (1996)The base rate fallacy reconsi…On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)On the reality of cognitive i…On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky. (1996)On narrow norms and vague heu…A new look at anchoring effects: Basic anchoring and its antecedents. (1996)A new look at anchoring effec…Subjective probability (1995)Subjective probabilityThe Overconfidence Phenomenon as a Consequence of Informal Experimenter-Guided Selection of Almanac Items (1994)The Overconfidence Phenomenon…Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underc…Presentation and content: The use of base rates as a continuous variable. (1988)Presentation and content: The…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: C…Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under UncertaintyEvidential impact of base rates (1982)Evidential impact of base rat…The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments (1980)The base-rate fallacy in prob…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Conservatism in a simple prob…One by One: Accumulating Evidence by using Meta-Analytical Procedures for Single-Case Experiments (2017)One by One: Accumulating Evid…Climate change mitigation strategies in carbon-intensive firms (2015)Climate change mitigation str…Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality. (1996)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Flawed Self-Assessment (2004)Judged frequency of lethal events. (1978)Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)A Bayesian analysis of attribution processes. (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)The impact of sleep deprivation on decision making: A review. (2000)Models of ecological rationality: The recognition heuristic. (2002)First offers as anchors: The role of perspective-taking and negotiator focus. (2001)Comparison processes in social judgment: Mechanisms and consequences. (2003)The Anchoring-and-Adjustment Heuristic (2006)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)Perception of Risk (1987)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1982Judgment under Uncertainty8,238 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution4,616 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1996On the reality of cognitive illusions.1,466 cited
  • 1980The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments1,184 cited
  • 1996On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A reply to Kahneman and Tversky.1,070 cited
  • 1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.856 cited
  • 1996A new look at anchoring effects: Basic anchoring and its antecedents.798 cited
  • 1996The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges763 cited
  • 1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.644 cited
  • 1982Evidential impact of base rates591 cited
  • 1988Presentation and content: The use of base rates as a continuous variable.418 cited
  • 1995Subjective probability364 cited
  • 1994

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The Overconfidence Phenomenon as a Consequence of Informal Experimenter-Guided Selection of Almanac Items
323 cited

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  • 2015Climate change mitigation strategies in carbon-intensive firms223 cited
  • 2017One by One: Accumulating Evidence by using Meta-Analytical Procedures for Single-Case Experiments40 cited