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ArticleDecomposing Hindsight Bias

Mark G. Kelman1998

Article1998

Decomposing Hindsight Bias

Mark G. Kelman · David Fallas · Hilary Folger

35 citations·0/0 files stored·Journal of Risk and Uncertainty

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1974Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1975I knew it would happen 1982Debiasing 1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.1991The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis 1989Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.

Cited by

2023Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases 2003Sacrificing Civil Liberties to Reduce Terrorism Risks 2008Judging Audit Quality in Light of Adverse Outcomes: Evidence of Outcome Bias and Reverse Outcome Bias*2008Experimental Law and Economics 2001Jurors, Judges, and the Mistreatment of Risk by the Courts 2020Hindsight bias and outcome bias in judging directors’ liability and the role of free will beliefs

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1998The Effects of Feedback Source and Plausibility of Hindsight Biasarticle · 11 shared references 2002Hindsight Bias and Individual Risk Attitude within the Context of Experimental Asset Marketsarticle · 10 shared references 2002Hindsight Bias and Individual Risk Attitude within the Context of Experimental Asset Marketspreprint · 10 shared references 2002Hindsight Bias Around the Worldarticle · 9 shared references 1998Causality as an influence on hindsight bias: An empirical examination of judges' evaluation of professional audit judgmentarticle · 9 shared references 1991Hindsight bias in a very sparse environmentarticle · 9 shared references

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Year1998

Typearticle

Published1998-05-01

VenueJournal of Risk and Uncertainty

ISSN-L0895-5646

Languageen

Citations35

Files0 public / 0

ShelfDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics

Identifiers

doi10.1023/a:1007755019837

openalex_workW1600976016

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2007An examination of the influence of surprise on judges and jurors’ outcome effects

2019Wikipedia outperforms individuals when it comes to hindsight bias