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Decomposing Hindsight Bias

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References

1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
1974Hindsight-foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.801 cited
1975I knew it would happen716 cited
1982Debiasing506 cited
1977On the psychology of experimental surprises.488 cited
1991The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis448 cited
1989Outcome feedback: Hindsight and information.200 cited
1995Ex post ≠ ex ante: Determining liability in hindsight.157 cited
1983Motivational interpretations of hindsight bias: An individual difference analysis152 cited
1977Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence.149 cited
1989Juror decision making, attitudes, and the hindsight bias.115 cited
1987Reduction of hindsight bias by restoration of foresight perspective: Effectiveness of foresight-encoding and hindsight-retrieval strategies68 cited
1981The Distorted Nature of Hindsight68 cited
1990Second‐Guessing the Jury: Stereotypic and Hindsight Biases in Perceptions of Court Cases163 cited

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1986Hindsight Distortion: “I knew‐it‐all along and I was sure about it”146 cited

Cited by

2023Toward Parsimony in Bias Research: A Proposed Common Framework of Belief-Consistent Information Processing for a Set of Biases173 cited
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2008Judging Audit Quality in Light of Adverse Outcomes: Evidence of Outcome Bias and Reverse Outcome Bias*100 cited
2008Experimental Law and Economics64 cited
2001Jurors, Judges, and the Mistreatment of Risk by the Courts48 cited
2020Hindsight bias and outcome bias in judging directors’ liability and the role of free will beliefs16 cited
2007An examination of the influence of surprise on judges and jurors’ outcome effects11 cited
2019Wikipedia outperforms individuals when it comes to hindsight bias6 cited
2006Amos Tversky’s contributions to legal scholarship: Remarks at the BDRM session in honor of Amos Tversky, June 16, 20062 cited
2025Improving risky choices: The effect of cognitive offloading on risky decisions1 cited
2014Das „Heuristics-and-Biasses“-Programm0 cited