Human judgment and social policy: irreducible uncertainty, inevitable error, unavoidable injustice

Abstract

Preface PART I: RIVALRY 1. Irreducible Uncertainty and the Need for Judgment 2. Duality of Error and Policy Formation 3. Coping with Uncertainty: The Rivalry Between Intuition and Analysis PART II: TENSION 4. Origins of Tension Between Coherence and Correspondence Theories of Competence in Judgment and Decision Making 5. The Evolutionary Roots of Correspondence Competence PART III: COMPROMISE 6. Reducing Rivalry Through Compromise 7. Task Structure, Cognitive Change, and Pattern Recognition 8. Reducing Tension Between Coherence and Correspondence Through Constructive Complementarity PART IV: POSSIBILITIES 9. Is it possible to Learn by Intervening?

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