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The wisdom of crowds: Predicting a weather and climate-related event
16 references·3 citing·37 second hop
The wisdom of crowds: Predicting a weather and climate-related event (2013)The wisdom of crowds: Predicting a weathe…What's next? Judging sequences of binary events. (2009)What's next? Judging sequence…The Promise of Prediction Markets (2008)The Promise of Prediction Mar…Intuitions About Combining Opinions: Misappreciation of the Averaging Principle (2006)Intuitions About Combining Op…To combine or not to combine: selecting among forecasts and their combinations (2004)To combine or not to combine:…The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations (2004)The wisdom of crowds: why the…Prediction Markets (2004)Prediction MarketsPublic perceptions of global warming: United States and internation perspectives (1998)Public perceptions of global …Learning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades (1998)Learning from the Behavior of…Information Cascades in the Laboratory (1997)Information Cascades in the L…Testing bayes rule and the representativeness heuristic: Some experimental evidence (1992)Testing bayes rule and the re…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…The Combination of Forecasts (1969)The Combination of ForecastsSequential collaboration: The accuracy of dependent, incremental judgments. (2022)Sequential collaboration: The…Eliciting Model Structures for Multivariate Probabilistic Risk Analysis (2021)Eliciting Model Structures fo…Collective intelligence in fingerprint analysis (2020)Collective intelligence in fi…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example. (1974)The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)The Dynamics of Informational Cascades: The Monday Demonstrations in Leipzig, East Germany, 1989–91 (1994)Models of technology diffusion (2000)Micro-Foundations of Urban Agglomeration Economies (2003)Chapter 48 Micro-foundations of urban agglomeration economies (2004)American Economic Review (2019)Diffusion of Innovations 1 (2019)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, by John Maynard Keynes (1936)A Simple Model of Herd Behavior (1992)The Robust Beauty of Majority Rules in Group Decisions. (2005)Herding in online product choice (2006)Information Cascades: Evidence from a Field Experiment with Financial Market Professionals (2007)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Handbook of Economic Forecasting (2013)Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets (1988)Implied Binomial Trees (1994)The Limits of Arbitrage (1995)Repugnance as a Constraint on Markets (2007)The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies? (2007)Benefits, Adoption Barriers and Myths of Open Data and Open Government (2012)Algorithm appreciation: People prefer algorithmic to human judgment (2019)Delphi Technique in Health Sciences: A Map (2020)Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model (2003)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1969The Combination of Forecasts3,194 cited
  • 2004The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations2,925 cited
  • 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography2,170 cited
  • 1998Learning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades1,916 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 2004Prediction Markets886 cited
  • 1997Information Cascades in the Laboratory459 cited
  • 2006Intuitions About Combining Opinions: Misappreciation of the Averaging Principle407 cited
  • 2008The Promise of Prediction Markets403 cited
  • 1998Public perceptions of global warming: United States and internation perspectives401 cited
  • 1992Testing bayes rule and the representativeness heuristic: Some experimental evidence395 cited
  • 2004To combine or not to combine: selecting among forecasts and their combinations

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325 cited
  • 2009What's next? Judging sequences of binary events.254 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2021Eliciting Model Structures for Multivariate Probabilistic Risk Analysis25 cited
    • 2020Collective intelligence in fingerprint analysis24 cited
    • 2022Sequential collaboration: The accuracy of dependent, incremental judgments.12 cited