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Improving Judgment in Forecasting
16 references·0 citing·34 second hop
Improving Judgment in Forecasting (2001)Improving Judgment in ForecastingPrinciples of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingExpert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique (2001)Expert Opinions in Forecastin…Subjective probability (1995)Subjective probabilityError measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (1992)Error measures for generalizi…Bias in Quantifying Judgments (1991)Bias in Quantifying JudgmentsHindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. (1990)Hindsight: Biased judgments o…Effects of cognitive feedback on performance. (1989)Effects of cognitive feedback…Organizational behavior and human decision processes (1988)Organizational behavior and h…A theory of requisite decision models (1984)A theory of requisite decisio…Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer). (1981)Long Range Forecasting (From …Knowledge and Cognition (1975)Knowledge and CognitionJudgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…I knew it would happen (1975)I knew it would happenExceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis (1975)Exceptional Paper—Probability…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Analyzing the expert judge: A descriptive study of a stockbroker's decision process. (1969)Analyzing the expert judge: A…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Human Problem Solving (1972)HARKing: Hypothesizing After the Results are Known (1998)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Why Measure Performance? Different Purposes Require Different Measures (2003)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)A new metric of absolute percentage error for intermittent demand forecasts (2016)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Perceived Usefulness, Perceived Ease of Use, and User Acceptance of Information Technology (1989)Absorptive Capacity: A New Perspective on Learning and Innovation (1990)A Comparison of the Theory of Planned Behavior and the Theory of Reasoned Action (1992)Emotional Labor in Service Roles: The Influence of Identity (1993)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Delphi technique: a method for testing complex and multifaceted topics (2009)Using Delphi technique to build consensus in practice (2014)Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: A six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process (2019)The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The Dishonesty of Honest People: A Theory of Self-Concept Maintenance (2008)Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. (1989)Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment (1996)Measuring the Affective and Cognitive Properties of Attitudes: Conceptual and Methodological Issues (1994)Relationship between attitudes and evaluative space: A critical review, with emphasis on the separability of positive and negative substrates. (1994)Valuing the Environment Through Contingent Valuation (1994)Consensus measurement in Delphi studies (2012)Rethinking Partial Least Squares Path Modeling: In Praise of Simple Methods (2012)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1988Organizational behavior and human decision processes1,753 cited
  • 1992Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons1,400 cited
  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,178 cited
  • 1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
  • 2001Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique845 cited
  • 1975I knew it would happen716 cited
  • 1975Exceptional Paper—Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis663 cited
  • 1991Bias in Quantifying Judgments537 cited
  • 1989Effects of cognitive feedback on performance.497 cited
  • 1975Knowledge and Cognition475 cited
  • 1984A theory of requisite decision models468 cited
  • 1995Subjective probability364 cited
  • 1981Long Range Forecasting (From Crystal Ball to Computer).357 cited
  • 1969Analyzing the expert judge: A descriptive study of a stockbroker's decision process.344 cited

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